MAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAR - Marriott International Class A Common Stock
$384.19
-12.01 (-3.03%)
▼
5d:
-4.56%
30d:
+3.91%
90d:
+20.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$488.62
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$303.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $384.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $366.58 to $395.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $370.57, while resistance sits at $398.96. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $370.57, while resistance sits at $398.96. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$366.58 -
$395.40
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($380.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$366.58 -
$395.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$370.58
Resistance Level
$398.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.36
Wall Street Target
$380.83
(-0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Profit Margin
36.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
29.4 vs 27.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$393.41
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$402.85
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$412.52
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$383.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$551.50
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$409.11
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$347.74
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.55
Bull Case
$597.15
(+55%)
Analyst growth 37.0%, PE expands to 45.6
Base Case
$542.86
(+41%)
Market implied 37.0%, PE stable at 41.5
Bear Case
$269.42
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajeev Menon
SELL
3492 shares
2026-02-19
Benjamin T Breland
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-18
Rajeev Menon
SELL
6333 shares
2026-02-18
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