Marriott International (MAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$424.66
-4.52 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
+1.77%
30d:
+14.21%
90d:
+19.05%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
Protect MAR Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$371.15 – $415.33
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.6x
FAIR
vs 27.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$418.31
-1.5% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$398.99 / $433.30
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$488.55
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$303.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $424.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $371.15 to $415.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.6) compared to its historical average (27.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $433.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $433.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$371.15 -
$415.33
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$371.15 -
$415.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$398.99
Resistance Level
$433.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MAR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($418.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.59
Wall Street Target
$418.31
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.9%
Profit Margin
35.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
31.6 vs 27.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$444.19
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$464.63
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$486.00
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$424.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.6, Growth: 11.6%)
$589.76
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.6%)
$370.83
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.6%)
$315.20
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.03
Bull Case
$632.83
(+49%)
Analyst growth 34.0%, PE expands to 47.1
Base Case
$575.30
(+36%)
Market implied 34.0%, PE stable at 42.8
Bear Case
$291.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MAR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment on Marriott International ($MAR) was expressed on StockTwits, with one trader predicting a 50% correction. The latest news article from Yahoo Finance discusses Marriott's strong momentum and potential for higher fee income, but also mentions pressure points such as Middle East RevPAR weakness. The article suggests Marriott trades near recent highs and is overvalued according to some analysts.
Key Retail Themes:
Momentum
Valuation
Pressure Points
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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