Marriott International (MAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAR - Marriott International Class A Common Stock
$390.56
-6.25 (-1.57%)
▼
5d:
+0.65%
30d:
+11.11%
90d:
+1.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$482.59
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$299.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $390.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $342.73 to $381.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.1) compared to its historical average (27.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $363.80, while resistance sits at $407.34.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $363.80, while resistance sits at $407.34.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$342.73 -
$381.20
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MAR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($386.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$342.73 -
$381.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$363.80
Resistance Level
$407.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.15
Wall Street Target
$386.81
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Profit Margin
35.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
30.2 vs 27.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$409.89
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$423.42
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$437.39
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$397.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.2, Growth: 12.0%)
$557.87
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$367.46
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$312.34
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.66
Bull Case
$605.43
(+53%)
Analyst growth 36.2%, PE expands to 46.0
Base Case
$550.39
(+39%)
Market implied 36.2%, PE stable at 41.8
Bear Case
$274.72
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MAR price and gamma walls.
