Is MAR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MAR is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MAR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MAR to be between $337.82 and $358.95. The current price is $334.69.

What is the analyst price target for MAR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MAR is $380.80. This implies a potential upside of 13.8% from current levels.

Marriott International (MAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MAR - Marriott International Class A Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS

$334.69

5.62 (1.71%) ▲

5d: -0.41%

30d: -5.61%

90d: -15.67%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MAR Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $337.75 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 12.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$484.66

Based on 8.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$300.94

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $334.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $337.82 to $358.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $320.91, while resistance sits at $358.16.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $380.80 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $337.82 - $358.95

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($380.80)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $337.82 - $358.95

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $320.91

Resistance Level $358.16

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.44

Wall Street Target $380.80 (+13.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.3%

Profit Margin 35.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 25.4 vs 27.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $326.66 (-2%)

2-Year Target $318.82 (-5%)

3-Year Target $311.17 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→27) $335.16 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 25.4, Growth: 12.2%) $473.04 (+41%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.2%) $375.07 (+12%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.2%) $318.81 (-5%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 34.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.58

Bull Case $497.13 (+49%)

Analyst growth 37.3%, PE expands to 37.8

Base Case $451.94 (+35%)

Market implied 37.3%, PE stable at 34.4

Bear Case $223.77 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.4 to 27.4

Stabilization Target: $360.50 (+7.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +7.7%

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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