Marriott International (MAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAR - Marriott International Class A Common Stock
$358.96
4.17 (1.18%)
▲
5d:
+1.97%
30d:
+7.75%
90d:
-5.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$483.59
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$300.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $358.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $333.78 to $354.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $364.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $364.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$333.78 -
$354.79
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MAR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($380.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$333.78 -
$354.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$337.02
Resistance Level
$364.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.28
Wall Street Target
$380.80
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Profit Margin
35.0%
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 27.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$358.96
(0%)
2-Year Target
$358.96
(0%)
3-Year Target
$358.96
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
$359.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$506.05
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$378.40
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$321.64
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.65
Bull Case
$532.13
(+48%)
Analyst growth 36.3%, PE expands to 40.4
Base Case
$483.75
(+35%)
Market implied 36.3%, PE stable at 36.8
Bear Case
$241.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MAR price and gamma walls.
