MAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAR - Marriott International Class A Common Stock
$356.39
-0.21 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
-0.09%
30d:
-2.22%
90d:
-3.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$487.18
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$302.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $356.39, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $352.72 to $373.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.1) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $365.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $365.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MAR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$352.72 -
$373.56
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($380.64)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$352.72 -
$373.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$344.71
Resistance Level
$365.11
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.07
Wall Street Target
$380.64
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Profit Margin
35.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$354.61
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$352.84
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$351.07
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→28)
$356.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 12.4%)
$505.61
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.4%)
$374.86
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.4%)
$318.63
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.56
Bull Case
$540.19
(+52%)
Analyst growth 37.7%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$491.08
(+38%)
Market implied 37.7%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$242.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.1 to 27.5
Stabilization Target:
$362.04
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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