HLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLT - Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
$342.93
-5.91 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
-0.87%
30d:
+5.89%
90d:
+17.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$411.42
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$255.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLT is currently trading at $342.93, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $322.96 to $345.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.9) is in line with its historical norms (31.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $347.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $347.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$322.96 -
$345.15
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($347.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$322.96 -
$345.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$323.24
Resistance Level
$347.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.92
Wall Street Target
$347.33
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Profit Margin
30.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
32.9 vs 31.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$349.45
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$356.09
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$362.85
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$342.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.9, Growth: 15.3%)
$526.24
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$348.16
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$295.94
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.91 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.81
Bull Case
$414.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$342.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case
$262.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2026-02-23
Christopher J Nassetta
SELL
114289 shares
2026-02-17
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