Hilton Worldwide (HLT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLT - Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
$306.19
-0.05 (-0.02%)
▼
5d:
-2.6%
30d:
-5.07%
90d:
-10.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $311.18 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$415.68
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$258.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLT is currently trading at $306.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $310.68 to $327.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.3) is in line with its historical norms (31.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $300.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $353.00 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $300.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $353.00 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$310.68 -
$327.96
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($353.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$310.68 -
$327.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$300.00
Resistance Level
$327.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.29
Wall Street Target
$353.00
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
31.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 31.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$300.07
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$294.06
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$288.18
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→31)
$306.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 15.6%)
$473.21
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.6%)
$325.91
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.6%)
$277.02
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.80
Bull Case
$517.93
(+69%)
Analyst growth 53.8%, PE expands to 49.5
Base Case
$470.84
(+54%)
Market implied 53.8%, PE stable at 45.0
Bear Case
$208.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.3 to 31.1
Stabilization Target:
$325.15
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
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Advanced HLT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLT price and gamma walls.
