HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. HOTELS & MOTELS Best Hotels Stocks 2026 →

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$376.91
-2.85 (-0.75%) ▼
5d: +0.1% 30d: +14.36% 90d: +17.48%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$330.83 – $368.65
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
36.0x STRETCHED
vs 31.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$370.56
-1.7% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$352.25 / $381.34
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$405.70
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$251.91
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HLT is currently trading at $376.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.83 to $368.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 36.0) compared to its historical average (31.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $381.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HLT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $330.83 - $368.65
Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 22.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $330.83 - $368.65
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $352.25
Resistance Level $381.34
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($370.56)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.8% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 36.04
Wall Street Target $370.56 (-1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.1%
Profit Margin 32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.8% premium
PE vs Historical 36.0 vs 31.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $395.00 (+5%)
2-Year Target $413.96 (+10%)
3-Year Target $433.83 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→31) PE COMPRESSION $376.74 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 36.0, Growth: 14.5%) $565.20 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.5%) $311.43 (-17%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.5%) $264.71 (-30%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 34.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.82
Bull Case $455.12 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case $376.91 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case $288.34 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLT)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwits message highlights $AIBT's partner Keenon Robotics working with Chic-Fil-A, emphasizing the company's large market share and high-profile clients.
Key Retail Themes: Market share expansion Strong client base
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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