HLNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
$79.51
-2.71 (-3.30%)
▼
5d:
-0.74%
30d:
-6.58%
90d:
-20.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLNE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLNE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.37
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.92
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $79.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.19 to $87.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.79, while resistance sits at $93.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.57 (+70.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.79, while resistance sits at $93.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.57 (+70.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.19 -
$87.86
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.5% below Wall St target ($135.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.19 -
$87.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.79
Resistance Level
$93.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.27
Wall Street Target
$135.57
(+70.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$64.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$57.96
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$82.12
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$148.54
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$90.50
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$76.93
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.92
Bull Case
$92.08
(+16%)
Analyst growth 1.2%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$83.71
(+5%)
Market implied 1.2%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$56.24
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$112.64
(+41.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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