HLNE Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock INVESTMENT ADVICE Best Investment Advisory Stocks 2026 →

Hamilton Lane (HLNE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$96.38
+0.51 (+0.53%) ▲
5d: +8.74% 30d: +10.9% 90d: -6.69%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$81.76 – $90.22
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.1x FAIR
vs 17.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$126.00
+30.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$80.43 / $97.89
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.59
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.61
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $96.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.76 to $90.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $97.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.00 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $81.76 - $90.22
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $81.76 - $90.22
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $80.43
Resistance Level $97.89
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($126.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.09
Wall Street Target $126.00 (+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Profit Margin 32.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.1 vs 17.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $94.16 (-2%)
2-Year Target $92.00 (-5%)
3-Year Target $89.88 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $96.11 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%) $135.44 (+41%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 4.4%) $109.70 (+14%)
Bear: (PE: 13.7, Growth: 4.4%) $93.25 (-3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.74
Bull Case $93.75 (-3%)
Analyst growth -11.1%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case $85.23 (-12%)
Market implied -11.1%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case $65.19 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 17.2
Stabilization Target: $103.06 (+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLNE)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Hamilton Lane (HLNE) reported a 25% YoY growth in specialized funds, expanding asset footprint to over $1.1 trillion, and detailed monetization of strategic technology investments.
Key Retail Themes: Asset growth Fee rate expansion Technology investments monetization
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive HLNE Research Pages
HLNE Technical Chart HLNE Price Prediction HLNE Intrinsic Value DCF HLNE Earnings Date HLNE Investment Advisor HLNE Fair Price Analyzer HLNE Competitors
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