Hamilton Lane (HLNE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
$82.46
-1.24 (-1.48%)
▼
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
-5.87%
90d:
+1.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLNE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.5% annual earnings decline despite 50% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLNE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.5% annual earnings decline despite 50% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.07
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $82.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.20 to $89.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.69, while resistance sits at $88.43.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.75 (+52.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.69, while resistance sits at $88.43.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.75 (+52.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.20 -
$89.49
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.5% below Wall St target ($125.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.20 -
$89.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$88.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.76
Wall Street Target
$125.75
(+52.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Profit Margin
32.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.28
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$70.55
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$65.26
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$82.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$135.44
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$93.86
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 4.4%)
$79.78
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.56
Bull Case
$84.09
(+2%)
Analyst growth -8.7%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$76.45
(-7%)
Market implied -8.7%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$56.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$104.26
(+26.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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