Hamilton Lane (HLNE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
$88.57
1.71 (1.97%)
▲
5d:
+3.78%
30d:
-14.0%
90d:
+11.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.54
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $88.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.43 to $103.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.00 (+52.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.00 (+52.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$87.43 -
$103.86
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (88/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.4% below Wall St target ($135.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.43 -
$103.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.65
Resistance Level
$90.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.78
Wall Street Target
$135.00
(+52.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Profit Margin
32.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 17.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.52
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$78.76
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$74.27
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$88.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.4%)
$139.13
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$100.81
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 4.4%)
$85.69
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.57
Bull Case
$87.14
(-2%)
Analyst growth -8.8%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$79.21
(-11%)
Market implied -8.8%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$59.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$105.45
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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