HLNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
$80.95
-0.14 (-0.17%)
▼
5d:
-1.83%
30d:
+3.66%
90d:
-12.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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1 traders called HLNE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.69
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.63
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $80.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.02 to $82.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.79, while resistance sits at $93.52.
Market Sentiment: HLNE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.71 (+63.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.79, while resistance sits at $93.52.
Market Sentiment: HLNE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.71 (+63.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.02 -
$82.41
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.7% below Wall St target ($132.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.02 -
$82.41
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.79
Resistance Level
$93.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.53
Wall Street Target
$132.71
(+63.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$66.27
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$59.91
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$81.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$148.54
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 4.4%)
$92.30
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 4.4%)
$78.45
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.92
Bull Case
$89.75
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.2%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$81.59
(+1%)
Market implied 1.2%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$54.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$109.65
(+35.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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