HLNE
Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
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Hamilton Lane (HLNE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$96.38
+0.51 (+0.53%)
▲
5d:
+8.74%
30d:
+10.9%
90d:
-6.69%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$81.76 – $90.22
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.1x
FAIR
vs 17.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$126.00
+30.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$80.43 / $97.89
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.59
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $96.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.76 to $90.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $97.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.00 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $97.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.00 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$81.76 -
$90.22
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$81.76 -
$90.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$80.43
Resistance Level
$97.89
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($126.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.09
Wall Street Target
$126.00
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
32.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.16
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$92.00
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$89.88
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$96.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$135.44
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 4.4%)
$109.70
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 4.4%)
$93.25
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.74
Bull Case
$93.75
(-3%)
Analyst growth -11.1%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$85.23
(-12%)
Market implied -11.1%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$65.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$103.06
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLNE)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Hamilton Lane (HLNE) reported a 25% YoY growth in specialized funds, expanding asset footprint to over $1.1 trillion, and detailed monetization of strategic technology investments.
Key Retail Themes:
Asset growth
Fee rate expansion
Technology investments monetization
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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