HLNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLNE - Hamilton Lane Incorporated Class A Common Stock
$105.35
1.29 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
+1.06%
30d:
+29.82%
90d:
+18.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.75
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLNE is currently trading at $105.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.37 to $102.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $107.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $133.57 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $107.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLNE scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $133.57 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$85.37 -
$102.97
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($133.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.37 -
$102.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.67
Resistance Level
$107.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.58
Wall Street Target
$133.57
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Profit Margin
32.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.72
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$104.09
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$103.47
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$105.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.4%)
$136.88
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 4.4%)
$119.91
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$101.93
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.57
Bull Case
$104.39
(-1%)
Analyst growth -8.8%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$94.90
(-10%)
Market implied -8.8%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$70.76
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$107.25
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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