HNVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNVR - Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$23.07
0.17 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
-0.52%
30d:
-0.39%
90d:
+6.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HNVR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HNVR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.34
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNVR is currently trading at $23.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.85 to $23.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.00, while resistance sits at $24.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $22.00, while resistance sits at $24.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$22.85 -
$23.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.85 -
$23.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.00
Resistance Level
$24.55
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.72
Wall Street Target
$24.25
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.97
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$23.04
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.11
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$104.11
(+355%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 26.6%)
$46.48
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 26.6%)
$39.51
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$51.26
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$46.60
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$15.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Golden
SELL
700 shares
2026-02-06
Robert Golden
SELL
500 shares
2026-02-05
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