HNVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNVR - Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$26.25
-0.30 (-1.13%)
▼
5d:
+4.94%
30d:
+10.6%
90d:
+10.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HNVR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HNVR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.62
5.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNVR is currently trading at $26.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.21 to $25.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HNVR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HNVR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.21 -
$25.58
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.21 -
$25.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.93
Resistance Level
$27.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.14
Wall Street Target
$26.83
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.3%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.45
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$28.72
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$30.04
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 26.6%)
$99.09
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 26.6%)
$53.27
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 26.6%)
$45.28
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$54.15
(+106%)
Analyst growth 85.4%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$49.22
(+88%)
Market implied 85.4%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$18.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 4:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Golden
SELL
700 shares
2026-02-06
Robert Golden
SELL
500 shares
2026-02-05
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