HNVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNVR - Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$24.47
0.86 (3.62%)
▲
5d:
+5.11%
30d:
+1.45%
90d:
+8.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
8d
Get Alerted When HNVR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HNVR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HNVR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.34
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNVR is currently trading at $24.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.05 to $23.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.05 -
$23.88
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.05 -
$23.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.00
Resistance Level
$24.55
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.03
Wall Street Target
$24.25
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.92
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.23
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$24.55
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.50
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$104.11
(+341%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 26.6%)
$47.93
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 26.6%)
$40.74
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$50.20
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$45.64
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$15.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 12:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HNVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Golden
SELL
700 shares
2026-02-06
Robert Golden
SELL
500 shares
2026-02-05
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$67 | 66 BUY |
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$61 | 61 BUY |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$246 | 61 BUY |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$55 | 64 BUY |
|
WTFC
Wintrust Financial Corpo… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$179 | 63 BUY |
