Hanover Bancorp (HNVR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNVR - Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$26.78
-0.74 (-2.69%)
▼
5d:
-0.15%
30d:
-1.62%
90d:
+11.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HNVR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HNVR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.48
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNVR is currently trading at $26.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.88 to $27.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.88 -
$27.38
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.88 -
$27.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.37
Resistance Level
$27.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.37
Wall Street Target
$26.83
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
68.5%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.96
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$29.19
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$30.47
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.6%)
$96.41
(+260%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 26.6%)
$54.36
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 26.6%)
$46.20
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$56.13
(+110%)
Analyst growth 85.4%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$51.03
(+91%)
Market implied 85.4%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$18.71
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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