HOLX Hologic Inc X-RAY APPARATUS & TUBES & RELATED IRRADIATION APPARATUS Best Medical Devices Stocks 2026 →

Hologic (HOLX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$76.01
+0.36 (+0.48%) ▲
5d: +0.45% 30d: +0.34% 90d: +1.94%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.1x FAIR
vs 18.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$76.67
+0.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$75.33 / $76.07
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HOLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.61
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.42
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HOLX is currently trading at $76.01, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HOLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: HOLX scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 77.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

Support Level $75.33
Resistance Level $76.07
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 6, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.67)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 2.5% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.12
Wall Street Target $76.67 (+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -9.2%
Profit Margin 13.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 20.1 vs 18.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $78.75 (+4%)
2-Year Target $81.58 (+7%)
3-Year Target $84.52 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→18) PE COMPRESSION $76.05 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: -15.2%) $56.66 (+-26%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -15.2%) $55.41 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -15.2%) $47.10 (-38%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HOLX)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Hologic CEO Steve MacMillan to retire upon completion of go-private transaction with Blackstone and TPG.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive HOLX Research Pages
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