Hologic (HOLX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOLX - Hologic Inc
$76.01
0.36 (0.48%)
▲
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
+0.34%
90d:
+1.94%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HOLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HOLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.61
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOLX is currently trading at $76.01, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HOLX scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HOLX scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HOLX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 2.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.33
Resistance Level
$76.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.12
Wall Street Target
$76.67
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$81.58
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$84.52
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -15.2%)
$56.66
(+-26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -15.2%)
$55.41
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -15.2%)
$47.10
(-38%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HOLX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HOLX price and gamma walls.
