Hope Bancorp (HOPE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOPE - Hope Bancorp, Inc.
$13.34
-0.14 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
+0.38%
30d:
-4.58%
90d:
-0.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HOPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HOPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.31
18.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOPE is currently trading at $13.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.55 to $14.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HOPE scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+16.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HOPE scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.50 (+16.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.55 -
$14.00
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.55 -
$14.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.00
Resistance Level
$13.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.51
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
71.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Profit Margin
23.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.30
(0%)
2-Year Target
$13.26
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$13.22
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$13.36
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: 38.8%)
$82.53
(+519%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 38.8%)
$35.64
(+167%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 38.8%)
$30.30
(+127%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$22.57
(+69%)
Analyst growth 52.2%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$20.52
(+54%)
Market implied 52.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$9.17
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.48
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 07, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HOPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HOPE price and gamma walls.
