Hope Bancorp (HOPE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$13.06
-0.08 (-0.61%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.08%
30d:
-1.06%
90d:
-9.62%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect HOPE Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$13.20 â $13.80
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.9x
FAIR
vs 8.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.50
+11.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.93 / $13.76
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HOPE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.70
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.47
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOPE is currently trading at $13.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.20 to $13.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOPE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HOPE scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOPE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HOPE scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.20 -
$13.80
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$13.20 -
$13.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$12.93
Resistance Level
$13.76
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.85
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
24.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.65
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$14.26
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$14.90
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.9%)
$50.12
(+284%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 23.9%)
$24.86
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 23.9%)
$21.13
(+62%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$18.08
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$16.44
(+26%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$8.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HOPE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Traders on StockTwits express a bullish sentiment towards $HOPE, with one user commenting that the stock is 'so coiled'. No recent news articles are available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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