Helmerich & Payne (HP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HP - Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
$44.04
-0.52 (-1.17%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.18%
30d:
+2.49%
90d:
+12.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.78
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HP is currently trading at $44.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.64 to $45.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.8) is in line with its historical norms (32.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.94, while resistance sits at $48.17.
Market Sentiment: HP scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.94, while resistance sits at $48.17.
Market Sentiment: HP scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.64 -
$45.74
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.47)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.64 -
$45.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.94
Resistance Level
$48.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.79
Wall Street Target
$44.47
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.8%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.8 vs 32.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.03
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$42.04
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$41.07
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30â32)
$44.12
(+0%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.8 to 32.0
Stabilization Target:
$47.31
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Cara M Hair
SELL
58771 shares
2026-03-19
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Advanced HP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HP price and gamma walls.
