HP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HP - Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
$33.74
-0.23 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+6.0%
30d:
-13.91%
90d:
-5.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
Get Alerted When HP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.83
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HP is currently trading at $33.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.07 to $37.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (33.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.27 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.27 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.07 -
$37.37
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($41.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.07 -
$37.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.16
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.95
Resistance Level
$40.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.80
Wall Street Target
$41.27
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.8%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 33.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→33)
$35.92
(+7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.8 to 33.3
Stabilization Target:
$49.27
(+46.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 12:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Cara M Hair
SELL
58771 shares
2026-03-19
Top Rated Oil & Gas Drilling Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Drilling by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SDRL
Seadrill Limited |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$56 | 54 HOLD |
|
PDS
Precision Drilling Corpo… |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$101 | 58 HOLD |
|
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy Inc |
BUY
15 analysts |
$13 | 57 HOLD |
|
NE
Noble Corporation plc |
BUY
11 analysts |
$48 | 60 BUY |
|
SOC
Sable Offshore Corp. |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$14 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced HP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HP price and gamma walls.
