HRZN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRZN - Horizon Technology Finance Corporation
$4.82
-0.10 (-2.03%)
▼
5d:
-3.79%
30d:
+9.3%
90d:
+19.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HRZN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HRZN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.22
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRZN is currently trading at $4.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.39 to $4.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.6) compared to its historical average (5.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRZN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.61, while resistance sits at $5.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRZN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.61, while resistance sits at $5.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.39 -
$4.87
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HRZN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($5.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.39 -
$4.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.61
Resistance Level
$5.14
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.63
Wall Street Target
$5.05
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
241.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 5.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.02
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$5.22
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$5.44
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.5%)
$20.23
(+320%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$6.68
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$5.68
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$10.99
(+128%)
Analyst growth 96.6%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$9.99
(+107%)
Market implied 96.6%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$3.45
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRZN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HRZN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HRZN price and gamma walls.
