HSBC (HSBC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$89.90
+0.02 (+0.02%)
▲
5d:
+0.59%
30d:
-5.22%
90d:
-13.6%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$87.40 – $94.59
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.6x
FAIR
vs 10.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$103.02
+14.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$84.38 / $90.75
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HSBC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.44
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSBC is currently trading at $89.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.40 to $94.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSBC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HSBC scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.02 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSBC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HSBC scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.02 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$87.40 -
$94.59
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$87.40 -
$94.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$84.38
Resistance Level
$90.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.02)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.60
Wall Street Target
$103.02
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.4%
Profit Margin
41.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.71
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$87.56
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$86.42
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$89.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$248.39
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 10.1%)
$120.11
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$102.09
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.65
Bull Case
$121.41
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.3%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$110.38
(+23%)
Market implied 22.3%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$61.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$93.59
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HSBC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
Last Tracked
Nov 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on HSBC are bullish (sentiment score +0.41) across 2 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 11:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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