H World Group (HTHT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTHT - H World Group Limited American Depositary Shares
$46.31
0.54 (1.18%)
▲
5d:
+0.81%
30d:
+8.25%
90d:
+14.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HTHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HTHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.41
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.93
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $46.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.11 to $45.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.2) is in line with its historical norms (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.92 (+33.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.92 (+33.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.11 -
$45.18
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.7% below Wall St target ($61.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.11 -
$45.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.20
Resistance Level
$46.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.18
Wall Street Target
$61.92
(+33.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.11
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$43.93
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$42.79
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$47.14
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$644.92
(+1293%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$70.75
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$60.14
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$100.69
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.6
Base Case
$91.54
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$31.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$51.01
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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