H World Group (HTHT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTHT - H World Group Limited American Depositary Shares
$42.66
-0.35 (-0.81%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.94%
30d:
+3.42%
90d:
-5.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HTHT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HTHT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.47
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.59
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $42.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.33 to $48.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.0) compared to its historical average (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.69 (+42.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.69 (+42.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$42.33 -
$48.03
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.3% below Wall St target ($60.69)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.33 -
$48.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.61
Resistance Level
$48.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.99
Wall Street Target
$60.69
(+42.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.97
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$37.45
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$35.09
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â2)
$42.24
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.5%)
$665.33
(+1460%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 15.5%)
$65.78
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 15.5%)
$55.91
(+31%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$94.62
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$86.02
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$29.25
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$51.34
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Theng Fong Hee
SELL
31640 shares
2026-03-20
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