H World Group (HTHT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$49.83
-0.82 (-1.62%)
▼
5d:
-0.8%
30d:
+12.81%
90d:
+23.01%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$43.82 – $49.21
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.3x
FAIR
vs 2.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$60.94
+22.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.31 / $51.16
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HTHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.41
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.93
0.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTHT is currently trading at $49.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.82 to $49.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.3) is in line with its historical norms (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.94 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTHT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HTHT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.94 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.82 -
$49.21
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$43.82 -
$49.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$45.31
Resistance Level
$51.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($60.94)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.34
Wall Street Target
$60.94
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.3 vs 2.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.73
(0%)
2-Year Target
$49.63
(0%)
3-Year Target
$49.53
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$50.71
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$644.92
(+1194%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$76.13
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$64.71
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$111.43
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.6
Base Case
$101.30
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.8
Bear Case
$34.44
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$51.01
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HTHT)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Aug 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on HTHT are bullish (sentiment score +0.32) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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