HUB Group (HUBG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$36.04
0.37 (1.04%)
▲
5d:
-1.37%
30d:
-10.37%
90d:
-21.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 17, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HUBG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HUBG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.27
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.63
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $36.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.57 to $44.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $35.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $35.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.00 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.57 -
$44.26
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.57 -
$44.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.19
Resistance Level
$40.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.98
Wall Street Target
$41.00
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.81
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$31.71
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$29.74
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$35.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.3%)
$67.28
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 16.3%)
$56.65
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 16.3%)
$48.15
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.76
Bull Case
$47.31
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.6%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$43.01
(+19%)
Market implied 20.6%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$24.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$43.50
(+20.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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