HUBG
HUB Group Inc
ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
HUB Group (HUBG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.40
+0.01 (+0.04%)
▲
5d:
-2.71%
30d:
-7.05%
90d:
-39.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$25.12 – $27.30
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.3x
CHEAP
vs 19.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$37.17
+52.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.90 / $28.49
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HUBG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.01
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.71
45.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $24.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.12 to $27.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+52.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+52.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.12 -
$27.30
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$25.12 -
$27.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$23.90
Resistance Level
$28.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.4% below Wall St target ($37.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.29
Wall Street Target
$37.17
(+52.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.95
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→19)
$30.24
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.6%)
$73.50
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 19.6%)
$41.78
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 19.6%)
$35.51
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$33.39
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.2%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$30.36
(+25%)
Market implied 24.2%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$16.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$41.48
(+70.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+70.1%
Share HUBG Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HUBG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Dec 16, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Hub Group Inc. saw a purchase by a director for $590 thousand, adding to the bullish sentiment around the stock on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Company Executive Buying
Bullish Sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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