HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$46.53
1.12 (2.47%)
▲
5d:
-5.58%
30d:
+3.91%
90d:
+6.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HUBG is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HUBG is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.42
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $46.53, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.24 to $49.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.62, while resistance sits at $51.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $40.62. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.62, while resistance sits at $51.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $40.62. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.24 -
$49.39
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.7% above Wall St target ($40.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.24 -
$49.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.62
Resistance Level
$51.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.03
Wall Street Target
$40.62
(-12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.21
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$49.94
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$51.74
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$62.88
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.6%)
$56.61
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$48.12
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case
$60.80
(+31%)
Analyst growth 21.7%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$55.27
(+19%)
Market implied 21.7%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$30.88
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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