HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$43.22
-0.76 (-1.73%)
▼
5d:
-5.07%
30d:
+6.24%
90d:
+22.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HUBG is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HUBG is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.00
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $43.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.64 to $45.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.75, while resistance sits at $45.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.75, while resistance sits at $45.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$40.64 -
$45.20
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.64 -
$45.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.75
Resistance Level
$45.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.97
Wall Street Target
$42.20
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.26
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$46.57
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$47.92
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$57.73
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$57.22
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.5%)
$48.64
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$56.12
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$51.02
(+16%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$30.16
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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