HUB Group (HUBG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$25.13
-1.34 (-5.06%)
▼
5d:
-4.92%
30d:
-16.32%
90d:
-47.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When HUBG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.6% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.6% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.51
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.65
44.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $25.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.20 to $31.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.20 -
$31.89
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($37.17)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 85/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.20 -
$31.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.50
Resistance Level
$27.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.25
Wall Street Target
$37.17
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.82
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.44
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.30
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→20)
$30.87
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.6%)
$73.50
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 19.6%)
$45.34
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 19.6%)
$38.54
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$35.58
(+34%)
Analyst growth 24.2%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$32.35
(+22%)
Market implied 24.2%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$17.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$42.35
(+60.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Integrated Freight & Logistics Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Integrated Freight & Logistics by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$356 | 58 HOLD |
|
CHRW
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$192 | 70 BUY |
|
JBHT
JB Hunt Transport Servic… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$279 | 60 BUY |
|
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$114 | 37 SELL |
|
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$68 | 36 SELL |
