HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$40.73
0.68 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+1.07%
30d:
-17.25%
90d:
+0.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HUBG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HUBG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.95
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.06
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $40.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.72 to $49.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.45, while resistance sits at $48.51.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.45, while resistance sits at $48.51.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.72 -
$49.90
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.72 -
$49.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.45
Resistance Level
$48.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.19
Wall Street Target
$41.00
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.67
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$38.64
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$37.63
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$40.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.3%)
$66.95
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 16.3%)
$64.03
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 16.3%)
$54.42
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$53.73
(+32%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$48.84
(+20%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$27.23
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$43.93
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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