HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$47.69
1.49 (3.23%)
▲
5d:
+3.99%
30d:
+7.31%
90d:
+22.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HUBG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HUBG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.11
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $47.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.58 to $46.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.64. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.64. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.58 -
$46.04
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.7% above Wall St target ($41.64)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.58 -
$46.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.75
Resistance Level
$45.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.76
Wall Street Target
$41.64
(-12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 20.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.17
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$52.78
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$55.52
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$63.16
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$57.89
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.8%)
$49.21
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$58.62
(+23%)
Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$53.29
(+12%)
Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$31.42
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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