HVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HVT - Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc.
$25.02
-0.08 (-0.32%)
▼
5d:
-0.12%
30d:
+6.97%
90d:
+11.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.01
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HVT is currently trading at $25.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.55 to $25.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HVT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HVT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.55 -
$25.38
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.55 -
$25.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.24
Resistance Level
$24.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.68
Wall Street Target
$29.50
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.12
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$25.22
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$25.32
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.11
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 60.1%)
$190.02
(+660%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 60.1%)
$84.44
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 60.1%)
$71.78
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case
$55.22
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$50.20
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$17.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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