HZO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HZO - MarineMax, Inc.
$52.20
-0.05 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
+55.5%
90d:
+52.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
Get Alerted When HZO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HZO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HZO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HZO is currently trading at $52.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.72 to $49.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.2) compared to its historical average (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HZO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HZO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.72 -
$49.39
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
Protect Your Profits
HZO is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($47.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 21.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.72 -
$49.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.57
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.87
Resistance Level
$52.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.16
Wall Street Target
$47.00
(-10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+21.0% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 18.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+21.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.16
(+21%)
2-Year Target
$76.43
(+46%)
3-Year Target
$92.48
(+77%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 121.3%)
$176.18
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 121.3%)
$106.64
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 121.3%)
$90.65
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.52
Bull Case
$63.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.1
Base Case
$52.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$39.93
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:53 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$36 | 43 HOLD |
|
DKS
Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc |
BUY
26 analysts |
$251 | 59 HOLD |
|
MNSO
Miniso Group Holding Ltd |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$19 | 59 HOLD |
|
FIVE
Five Below Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$270 | 48 HOLD |
|
ULTA
Ulta Beauty Inc |
HOLD
28 analysts |
$623 | 44 HOLD |
Advanced HZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HZO price and gamma walls.
