HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES
MarineMax (HZO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$52.79
+0.02 (+0.04%)
▲
5d:
+0.15%
30d:
+0.76%
90d:
+1.44%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect HZO Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (43%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$52.32 – $52.69
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.5x
STRETCHED
vs 22.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$49.40
-6.4% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.47 / $52.89
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: HZO trades at premium valuation expecting 14.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HZO is currently trading at $52.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.32 to $52.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.5) compared to its historical average (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.32 -
$52.69
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$52.32 -
$52.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$52.47
Resistance Level
$52.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
HZO is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($49.40)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.7% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.53
Wall Street Target
$49.40
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.7% premium
PE vs Historical
33.5 vs 22.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.55
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$69.45
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$79.66
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.5, Growth: 121.3%)
$178.17
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 121.3%)
$105.53
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 121.3%)
$89.70
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.52
Bull Case
$63.67
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.5
Base Case
$52.73
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case
$40.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HZO)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding potential deals or acquisitions for $HZO, with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
M&A activity
Deal talks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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