MarineMax (HZO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HZO - MarineMax, Inc.
$52.21
0.01 (0.02%)
â˛
5d:
+0.1%
30d:
+0.15%
90d:
+55.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HZO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 18.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HZO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 18.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HZO is currently trading at $52.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.05 to $55.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.2) compared to its historical average (19.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 18.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HZO scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HZO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HZO scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$43.05 -
$55.58
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.9%
Protect Your Profits
HZO is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($47.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 18.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.05 -
$55.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.08
Resistance Level
$52.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.16
Wall Street Target
$47.00
(-10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+18.8% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 19.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+18.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.03
(+19%)
2-Year Target
$73.69
(+41%)
3-Year Target
$87.54
(+68%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 121.3%)
$176.21
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 121.3%)
$107.18
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 121.3%)
$91.10
(+75%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.52
Bull Case
$63.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.1
Base Case
$52.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$39.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HZO price and gamma walls.
