IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$16.83
-0.66 (-3.77%)
▼
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
+3.19%
90d:
-26.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.02
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $16.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.42 to $18.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 822.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.11, while resistance sits at $18.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+57.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.11, while resistance sits at $18.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+57.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.42 -
$18.23
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.5% below Wall St target ($26.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.42 -
$18.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.11
Resistance Level
$18.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.70
Wall Street Target
$26.50
(+57.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
115.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
822.9%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.40
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$14.09
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$12.89
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$16.74
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 1.5%)
$57.50
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 1.5%)
$17.59
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 1.5%)
$14.95
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$26.76
(+54%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$24.32
(+40%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$11.27
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$21.85
(+29.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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