IAMGold (IAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$18.52
0.18 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
-5.99%
30d:
-8.32%
90d:
+11.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.42
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.13
8.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $18.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.08 to $21.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 191.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.33 (+31.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.33 (+31.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.08 -
$21.05
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($24.33)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.08 -
$21.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.11
Resistance Level
$21.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.80
Wall Street Target
$24.33
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
191.4%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.22
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$17.93
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$17.65
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$18.54
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$79.03
(+327%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 17.7%)
$30.23
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$25.69
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$24.18
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.9%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$21.98
(+19%)
Market implied 19.9%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$12.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$19.46
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 5:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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