IAMGold (IAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$16.26
-0.16 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
-10.12%
30d:
-16.01%
90d:
+10.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: IAG is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: IAG is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.83
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $16.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.57 to $19.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 191.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.92 (+40.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.92 (+40.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.57 -
$19.76
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.9% below Wall St target ($22.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.57 -
$19.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.97
Resistance Level
$18.85
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.40
Wall Street Target
$22.92
(+40.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
191.4%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.74
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$15.24
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$14.75
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$16.34
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$59.65
(+267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$22.23
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 11.0%)
$18.90
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$20.04
(+23%)
Analyst growth 10.9%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$18.22
(+12%)
Market implied 10.9%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$11.17
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$18.01
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 7:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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