IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$16.18
-0.73 (-4.32%)
▼
5d:
-9.76%
30d:
-3.58%
90d:
-4.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.18
35.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $16.18, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.96 to $17.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 822.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.82, while resistance sits at $18.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.90 (+53.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.82, while resistance sits at $18.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.90 (+53.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.96 -
$17.56
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 53.9% below Wall St target ($24.90)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.96 -
$17.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.82
Resistance Level
$18.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.68
Wall Street Target
$24.90
(+53.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
115.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
822.9%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.90
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$13.72
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$12.64
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$16.27
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.9%)
$53.17
(+229%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 26.9%)
$16.31
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 26.9%)
$13.86
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$26.34
(+63%)
Analyst growth 41.6%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$23.95
(+48%)
Market implied 41.6%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$11.50
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$20.83
(+28.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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