ICICI Bank (IBN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBN - ICICI Bank Limited
$29.39
0.54 (1.87%)
▲
5d:
-3.7%
30d:
-1.51%
90d:
+7.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBN is currently trading at $29.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.46 to $30.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.33 (+23.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.33 (+23.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.46 -
$30.36
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($36.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.46 -
$30.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.76
Resistance Level
$30.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.34
Wall Street Target
$36.33
(+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$30.34
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$30.82
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 0.0%)
$34.19
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$29.39
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 0.0%)
$24.98
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$33.00
(+12%)
Analyst growth 4.0%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$30.00
(+2%)
Market implied 4.0%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$19.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rakesh Jha
SELL
45000 shares
2026-04-23
Rakesh Jha
SELL
90000 shares
2026-04-21
Sandeep Bakhshi
SELL
24999 shares
2026-04-21
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