IBTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBTA - Ibotta, Inc.
$30.82
0.14 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-4.37%
30d:
-3.57%
90d:
+9.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBTA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBTA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.14
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.75
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBTA is currently trading at $30.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.99 to $33.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBTA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IBTA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBTA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IBTA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.99 -
$33.88
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.99 -
$33.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.86
(9.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.54
Resistance Level
$35.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.95
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.2%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 18.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.57
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$30.33
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$30.09
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$30.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.4%)
$58.93
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 16.4%)
$48.57
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 16.4%)
$41.28
(+34%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$31.59
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marisa Daspit
SELL
2956 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced IBTA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBTA price and gamma walls.
