IDXX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IDXX - Idexx Laboratories Inc

IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES
$563.57
4.97 (0.89%) ▲
5d: +1.03%
30d: -2.65%
90d: -3.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IDXX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$618.39
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$383.97
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IDXX is currently trading at $563.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $544.18 to $568.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.1) compared to its historical average (38.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IDXX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $577.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: IDXX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $709.14 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $544.18 - $568.41
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 15th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($709.14)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $544.18 - $568.41
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$32.71 (5.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $518.55
Resistance Level $577.15
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.11
Wall Street Target $709.14 (+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.2%
Profit Margin 24.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 34.1 vs 38.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $539.34 (-4%)
2-Year Target $516.15 (-8%)
3-Year Target $493.95 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→39) $563.35 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.1, Growth: 12.9%) $812.09 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%) $518.57 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.9%) $440.78 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.69
Bull Case $741.62 (+32%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 44.9
Base Case $674.20 (+20%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 40.8
Bear Case $379.85 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.1 to 38.9
Stabilization Target: $642.75 (+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +14.0%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Nimrata Hunt SELL 1758 shares 2026-03-03
Jonathan Jay Mazelsky SELL 23326 shares 2026-02-26

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Advanced IDXX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IDXX price and gamma walls.

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