IHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IHG - InterContinental Hotels Group Plc
$167.78
-3.10 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
+0.98%
30d:
+7.46%
90d:
+7.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IHG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IHG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.28
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IHG is currently trading at $167.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $155.25 to $165.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IHG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IHG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $148.83. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IHG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IHG scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $148.83. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$155.25 -
$165.56
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.3% above Wall St target ($148.83)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 5.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$155.25 -
$165.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$158.94
Resistance Level
$171.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.78
Wall Street Target
$148.83
(-11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$172.31
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$176.96
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$181.74
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$167.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: 13.5%)
$245.29
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.5%)
$196.59
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.5%)
$167.10
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.71
Bull Case
$270.22
(+61%)
Analyst growth 43.8%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$245.65
(+46%)
Market implied 43.8%, PE stable at 36.3
Bear Case
$116.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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