ING Groep (ING) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ING - ING Groep N.V. American Depositary Shares

Commercial Banks, NEC
$37.27
0.60 (1.64%) β–²
5d: +0.49%
30d: +4.66%
90d: +25.57%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š MIXED SIGNALS: ING shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.88
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.07
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ING is currently trading at $37.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.97 to $36.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ING is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ING scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $34.97 - $36.47
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 22.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.4% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $34.97 - $36.47
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.14
Resistance Level $37.52
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.64
Wall Street Target $35.50 (-4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 22.1%
Profit Margin 34.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.4% premium
PE vs Historical 11.6 vs 10.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.28 (+5%)
2-Year Target $41.40 (+11%)
3-Year Target $43.64 (+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12β†’10) PE COMPRESSION $37.50 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.0%) $108.75 (+192%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 19.0%) $62.75 (+68%)
Bear: (PE: 9.9, Growth: 19.0%) $53.34 (+43%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.68
Bull Case $48.20 (+29%)
Analyst growth 19.5%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case $43.82 (+18%)
Market implied 19.5%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case $24.94 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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