IP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IP - International Paper Co.
$37.56
-0.31 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
-0.98%
30d:
+3.9%
90d:
+3.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
11d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.21
23.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $37.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.17 to $38.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.87, while resistance sits at $38.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.91 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.87, while resistance sits at $38.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.91 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.17 -
$38.57
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.17 -
$38.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.87
Resistance Level
$38.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.47
Wall Street Target
$41.91
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.1%
Profit Margin
-13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.55
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$35.56
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$34.60
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$37.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 101.8%)
$197.68
(+426%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 101.8%)
$126.77
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 101.8%)
$107.75
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$40.70
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 4:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Anders Gustafsson
BUY
13217 shares
2026-03-12
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IP price and gamma walls.
