IP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IP - International Paper Co.

PAPER MILLS
$36.56
-0.33 (-0.89%) ▼
5d: +0.47%
30d: +16.06%
90d: +2.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your IP Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.30
22.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $36.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.37 to $35.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: IP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $31.37 - $35.73
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.36)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.37 - $35.73
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.60
Resistance Level $34.53
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.74
Wall Street Target $39.36 (+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -90.1%
Profit Margin -13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 14.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.76 (-2%)
2-Year Target $34.97 (-4%)
3-Year Target $34.20 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→15) $36.59 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 94.4%) $195.60 (+435%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 94.4%) $123.39 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 11.7, Growth: 94.4%) $104.88 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.7
Stabilization Target: $39.12 (+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.0%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Anders Gustafsson BUY 13217 shares 2026-03-12

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