International Paper (IP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IP - International Paper Co.
$33.68
0.05 (0.15%)
â˛
5d:
-1.23%
30d:
-5.66%
90d:
-20.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.26
35.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $33.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.24 to $34.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.47, while resistance sits at $34.85.
Market Sentiment: IP scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.40 (+34.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.47, while resistance sits at $34.85.
Market Sentiment: IP scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.40 (+34.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.24 -
$34.82
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($45.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.24 -
$34.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.47
Resistance Level
$34.85
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.91
Wall Street Target
$45.40
(+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.1%
Profit Margin
-14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.02
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$28.57
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$26.31
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â14)
$33.77
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 144.0%)
$206.93
(+514%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 144.0%)
$113.67
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 144.0%)
$96.62
(+187%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$43.22
(+28.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced IP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IP price and gamma walls.
