International Paper (IP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IP - International Paper Co.

PAPER MILLS
$34.36
0.07 (0.20%) ▲
5d: -5.71%
30d: -16.48%
90d: -1.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your IP Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $37.24 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.06
34.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $34.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.97 to $41.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: IP scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+39.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $36.97 - $41.94
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.7% below Wall St target ($48.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $36.97 - $41.94
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.82
Resistance Level $40.32
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.49
Wall Street Target $48.00 (+39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -90.1%
Profit Margin -14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.5 vs 14.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.85 (-7%)
2-Year Target $29.53 (-14%)
3-Year Target $27.37 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→14) $34.30 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 122.4%) $203.53 (+492%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 122.4%) $115.97 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 9.8, Growth: 122.4%) $98.57 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 14.4
Stabilization Target: $43.05 (+25.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +25.3%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check

Is IP showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23

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