IPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPI - Intrepid Potash, Inc
$38.98
0.70 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+6.44%
30d:
+13.15%
90d:
-3.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.21
Based on -14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPI is currently trading at $38.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.95 to $36.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.6) compared to its historical average (74.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 28.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 382.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.95 -
$36.84
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
32.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($36.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.95 -
$36.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.75
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.80
Resistance Level
$39.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.57
Wall Street Target
$36.50
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
382.3%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-28.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 74.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-28.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$31.57
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$28.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→75)
$77.09
(+98%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: -33.0%)
$28.42
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -33.0%)
$20.68
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -33.0%)
$17.58
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case
$48.79
(+25%)
Analyst growth 15.9%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$44.36
(+14%)
Market implied 15.9%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$26.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 74.8
Stabilization Target:
$105.74
(+171.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+171.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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