IPI
Intrepid Potash, Inc
MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)
Intrepid Potash (IPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$32.97
-0.43 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
+5.4%
30d:
-0.24%
90d:
-8.37%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (68%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$31.23 – $32.98
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
34.0x
CHEAP
vs 61.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$34.50
+4.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$27.99 / $33.92
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: IPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Get Alerted When IPI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.41
Based on -25.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPI is currently trading at $32.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.23 to $32.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.0) compared to its historical average (61.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.23 -
$32.98
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$31.23 -
$32.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.11
(6.4%)
Support Level
$27.99
Resistance Level
$33.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.01
Wall Street Target
$34.50
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.3%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.0 vs 61.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.71
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.04
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→62)
$43.61
(+32%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.0, Growth: -55.5%)
$24.04
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -55.5%)
$14.04
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -55.5%)
$11.93
(-64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$44.52
(+35%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 45.9
Base Case
$40.48
(+23%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 41.8
Bear Case
$22.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.0 to 61.7
Stabilization Target:
$59.82
(+81.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+81.4%
Share IPI Analysis
Share this live IPI analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (IPI)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The Mosaic Company ($IPI) reported a record-low operating margin of -1.5% in the last twelve months, which is significantly lower than its middle value of 7.3% over the past decade. The decline is mainly due to reduced phosphate production and higher sulfur costs.
Key Retail Themes:
declining phosphate production
higher sulfur costs
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is IPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Agricultural Inputs Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Agricultural Inputs by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NTR
Nutrien Ltd |
BUY
26 analysts |
$77 | 46 HOLD |
|
CTVA
Corteva Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$17 | 47 HOLD |
|
CF
CF Industries Holdings I… |
SELL
22 analysts |
$129 | 47 HOLD |
|
MOS
The Mosaic Company |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$25 | 30 SELL |
|
FMC
FMC Corporation |
SELL
17 analysts |
$8 | 50 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive IPI Research Pages
