iQIYI (IQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IQ - iQIYI, Inc. American Depositary Shares

Services-Video Tape Rental
$0.95
0.02 (1.68%) ▲
5d: +7.92%
30d: -28.39%
90d: -7.53%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your IQ Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $0.98 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.32
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.82
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IQ is currently trading at $0.95, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.92 to $1.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.7) is in line with its historical norms (1.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $0.86, while resistance sits at $1.01.

Market Sentiment: IQ scores 91/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.40 (+47.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $0.92 - $1.30
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 93.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (91/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.2% below Wall St target ($1.40)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -5.1% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $0.92 - $1.30
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $0.86
Resistance Level $1.01
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.72
Wall Street Target $1.40 (+47.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -72.3%
Profit Margin -3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 1.7 vs 1.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $0.95 (+0%)
2-Year Target $0.95 (+0%)
3-Year Target $0.96 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2→2) PE COMPRESSION $0.95 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 4:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:28 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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