iQIYI (IQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IQ - iQIYI, Inc. American Depositary Shares

Services-Video Tape Rental
$0.99
0.00 (0.22%) ▲
5d: -3.38%
30d: +14.58%
90d: -7.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: IQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.12
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IQ is currently trading at $0.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.92 to $1.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (1.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $0.94, while resistance sits at $1.06.

Market Sentiment: IQ scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1.34 (+36.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $0.92 - $1.04
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($1.34)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.3% growth with -5.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $0.92 - $1.04
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $0.94
Resistance Level $1.06
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.08
Wall Street Target $1.34 (+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -72.3%
Profit Margin -3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.3% premium
PE vs Historical 2.1 vs 1.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.05 (+6%)
2-Year Target $1.11 (+13%)
3-Year Target $1.18 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2→2) PE COMPRESSION $0.96 (-2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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