Itron (ITRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRI - Itron Inc
$93.55
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
-8.83%
90d:
+15.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.46
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $93.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.82 to $102.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ITRI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ITRI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$95.82 -
$102.70
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($129.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.82 -
$102.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.68
Resistance Level
$99.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.53
Wall Street Target
$129.60
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.05
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$90.58
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$89.13
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$93.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.7%)
$174.32
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 7.7%)
$116.89
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 7.7%)
$99.36
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.91
Bull Case
$120.43
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$109.48
(+17%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$63.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$98.21
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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