Itron (ITRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRI - Itron Inc
$86.24
-0.10 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-5.77%
30d:
-9.32%
90d:
+1.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ITRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ITRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.54
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $86.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.73 to $97.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+50.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+50.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$89.73 -
$97.21
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.3% below Wall St target ($129.60)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.73 -
$97.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.82
Resistance Level
$94.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.47
Wall Street Target
$129.60
(+50.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$79.31
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$76.06
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$86.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.7%)
$176.31
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 7.7%)
$107.76
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 7.7%)
$91.60
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.91
Bull Case
$111.15
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$101.04
(+17%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$58.71
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$97.52
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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