Itron (ITRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRI - Itron Inc
$85.01
0.39 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
-8.91%
90d:
+1.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ITRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ITRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.08
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $85.01, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.63 to $91.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $86.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITRI scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.44 (+51.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $86.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITRI scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.44 (+51.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$84.63 -
$91.03
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.1% below Wall St target ($128.44)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 83/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.63 -
$91.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.16
Resistance Level
$86.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.15
Wall Street Target
$128.44
(+51.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.10
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$77.37
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$73.81
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$85.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$180.11
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$110.22
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 9.0%)
$93.68
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.98
Bull Case
$108.88
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$98.98
(+16%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$57.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$97.93
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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