ITRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRI - Itron Inc
$83.39
-1.71 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
-3.86%
30d:
+4.66%
90d:
-11.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ITRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ITRI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.86
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $83.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.53 to $84.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ITRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.70 (+51.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ITRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.70 (+51.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$80.53 -
$84.70
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.9% below Wall St target ($126.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.53 -
$84.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.50
Resistance Level
$88.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.72
Wall Street Target
$126.70
(+51.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.9%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.39
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$77.49
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$74.70
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$83.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$188.87
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 9.8%)
$110.28
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 9.8%)
$93.74
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.33
Bull Case
$96.84
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.6%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$88.04
(+4%)
Market implied 3.6%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$57.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$93.11
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joan S Hooper
SELL
3533 shares
2026-02-26
Donald L Reeves III
SELL
519 shares
2026-02-25
David Marshall Wright
SELL
264 shares
2026-02-20
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