ITRI Itron Inc INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS

Itron (ITRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$99.58
-0.39 (-0.39%) ▼
5d: +1.38% 30d: +16.37% 90d: -2.95%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$84.30 – $96.89
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.3x FAIR
vs 14.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$128.56
+29.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$90.79 / $103.25
Trend: Sideways
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.41
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.04
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $99.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.30 to $96.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $90.78, while resistance sits at $103.25.

Market Sentiment: ITRI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $128.56 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $84.30 - $96.89
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 29.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $84.30 - $96.89
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $90.79
Resistance Level $103.25
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($128.56)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.33
Wall Street Target $128.56 (+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.2%
Profit Margin 12.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 14.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $100.38 (+1%)
2-Year Target $101.18 (+2%)
3-Year Target $101.99 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) PE COMPRESSION $99.62 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.6%) $149.06 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 2.6%) $107.58 (+8%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 2.6%) $91.44 (-8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.27
Bull Case $121.85 (+22%)
Analyst growth 10.8%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case $110.78 (+11%)
Market implied 10.8%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case $67.98 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ITRI)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Investor $username reported $ITRI beat earnings expectations with EPS of $1.94 and revenue of $599M, leading to a bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes: earnings beat positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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