ITRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRI - Itron Inc
$99.66
0.81 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
+18.33%
30d:
+17.95%
90d:
+18.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ITRI is 8.2% above its trading range ($92.14). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ITRI is 8.2% above its trading range ($92.14). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.61
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRI is currently trading at $99.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.15 to $92.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.13, while resistance sits at $108.20.
Market Sentiment: ITRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.13, while resistance sits at $108.20.
Market Sentiment: ITRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.60 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.15 -
$92.14
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.0% below Wall St target ($129.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -7.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Extended 8.2% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.15 -
$92.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.13
Resistance Level
$108.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.67
Wall Street Target
$129.60
(+30.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.86
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$102.07
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$103.29
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.5%)
$170.17
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 6.5%)
$120.39
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 6.5%)
$102.33
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.98
Bull Case
$123.56
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$112.33
(+13%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$67.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joan S Hooper
SELL
3533 shares
2026-02-26
Donald L Reeves III
SELL
519 shares
2026-02-25
David Marshall Wright
SELL
264 shares
2026-02-20
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