ITRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$63.55
-0.64 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
-4.08%
30d:
+9.06%
90d:
+24.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.92
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $63.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.44 to $66.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+15.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$60.44 -
$66.28
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.4% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.44 -
$66.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.04
Resistance Level
$67.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.32
Wall Street Target
$73.50
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 14.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.62
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$71.94
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$76.55
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$87.57
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 3.1%)
$69.62
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 3.1%)
$57.90
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$85.24
(+34%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$77.49
(+22%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$43.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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