Ituran Location and Control (ITRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$52.67
0.92 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
+2.99%
30d:
-2.59%
90d:
-20.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.51
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $52.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.75 to $53.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITRN scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITRN scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+41.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$50.75 -
$53.74
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($74.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.75 -
$53.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.96
Resistance Level
$52.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.90
Wall Street Target
$74.50
(+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.93
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$51.21
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$50.49
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$52.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.4%)
$87.00
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$59.95
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$50.95
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.25
Bull Case
$66.38
(+26%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$60.35
(+15%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$35.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$54.96
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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