ITRN Ituran Location and Control Ltd. Wholesale-Electronic Parts & Equipment, NEC

Ituran Location and Control (ITRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$50.02
+0.38 (+0.77%) ▲
5d: -5.89% 30d: -2.09% 90d: -6.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$50.20 – $52.52
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.2x FAIR
vs 14.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$74.50
+48.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$48.76 / $53.64
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.58
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $50.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.20 to $52.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ITRN scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+48.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $50.20 - $52.52
Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $50.20 - $52.52
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $48.76
Resistance Level $53.64
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.9% below Wall St target ($74.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.20
Wall Street Target $74.50 (+48.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 29.6%
Profit Margin 16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.2 vs 14.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.67 (-3%)
2-Year Target $47.36 (-5%)
3-Year Target $46.08 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $49.92 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%) $85.67 (+71%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 4.4%) $56.93 (+14%)
Bear: (PE: 11.2, Growth: 4.4%) $48.39 (-3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case $64.07 (+28%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case $58.25 (+16%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case $33.76 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.3
Stabilization Target: $54.20 (+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.4%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ITRN)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwits message ranks $ITRN as the 8th best communication services company using Stock Meadow's scoring model, while a Yahoo Finance article suggests the stock's recent price performance may not be adequately supported by its intrinsic value. The DCF analysis in the article indicates a gradually increasing annual free cash flow, which when discounted back to present value, is compared with the current share price.
Key Retail Themes: stock ranking recent share price performance intrinsic value vs. current price
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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