Ituran Location and Control (ITRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$50.37
-0.48 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
+0.83%
30d:
-3.86%
90d:
-8.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.04
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $50.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.67 to $52.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.76, while resistance sits at $52.49.
Market Sentiment: ITRN scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+47.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.76, while resistance sits at $52.49.
Market Sentiment: ITRN scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.50 (+47.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.67 -
$52.33
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.9% below Wall St target ($74.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.67 -
$52.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.76
Resistance Level
$52.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.29
Wall Street Target
$74.50
(+47.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$47.78
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$46.54
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$50.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%)
$85.67
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$57.33
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.4%)
$48.73
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.23
Bull Case
$65.63
(+30%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$59.67
(+19%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$34.58
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$54.58
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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