ITRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$65.05
-1.32 (-1.99%)
▼
5d:
+1.85%
30d:
+11.37%
90d:
+41.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ITRN trades at premium valuation expecting 8.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ITRN trades at premium valuation expecting 8.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.17
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $65.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.70 to $63.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.02, while resistance sits at $68.30.
Market Sentiment: ITRN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+13.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.02, while resistance sits at $68.30.
Market Sentiment: ITRN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+13.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.70 -
$63.15
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.70 -
$63.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.02
Resistance Level
$68.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.72
Wall Street Target
$73.50
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 14.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.32
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$76.01
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$82.17
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 3.1%)
$88.10
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 3.1%)
$71.27
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 3.1%)
$56.29
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$89.44
(+38%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$81.31
(+25%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$43.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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