ITRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$55.78
-0.22 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
-3.73%
30d:
-11.96%
90d:
+4.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ITRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ITRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.35
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $55.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.77 to $65.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.01, while resistance sits at $62.62.
Market Sentiment: ITRN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.01, while resistance sits at $62.62.
Market Sentiment: ITRN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$57.77 -
$65.19
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($73.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.77 -
$65.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.01
Resistance Level
$62.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.20
Wall Street Target
$73.50
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$57.47
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$58.33
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$87.57
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 3.1%)
$61.11
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 3.1%)
$51.95
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$74.37
(+33%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$67.61
(+21%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$38.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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