Itau Unibanco (ITUB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITUB - Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. American Depositary Shares
$8.59
0.14 (1.66%)
▲
5d:
+5.92%
30d:
+6.31%
90d:
+3.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITUB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITUB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.13
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITUB is currently trading at $8.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.78 to $8.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.78 -
$8.41
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.78 -
$8.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.92
Resistance Level
$8.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.69
Wall Street Target
$8.88
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.61
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$8.62
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$8.64
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.55
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$27.39
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 10.8%)
$11.67
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$9.92
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$11.34
(+32%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$10.31
(+20%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$5.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
39477 shares
2026-04-17
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-15
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-14
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