Itau Unibanco (ITUB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITUB - Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. American Depositary Shares
$8.33
0.03 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
+1.34%
30d:
+12.57%
90d:
+5.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITUB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ITUB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.27
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITUB is currently trading at $8.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.40 to $8.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITUB scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITUB scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.40 -
$8.17
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.86)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.40 -
$8.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.39
Resistance Level
$8.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.43
Wall Street Target
$8.86
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$8.18
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$8.11
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$8.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.8%)
$27.08
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$11.32
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 10.8%)
$9.62
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$10.87
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$9.88
(+19%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$5.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$8.60
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
39477 shares
2026-04-17
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-15
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SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-14
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