ITUB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITUB - Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. American Depositary Shares
$7.93
0.00 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
-0.31%
30d:
-0.94%
90d:
-2.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITUB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ITUB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.99
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.07
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITUB is currently trading at $7.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.66 to $7.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITUB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.82 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ITUB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.82 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.66 -
$7.98
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.66 -
$7.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.39
Resistance Level
$8.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.95
Wall Street Target
$8.83
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.62
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$7.32
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$7.04
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$7.97
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$30.01
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$10.95
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$9.31
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$10.69
(+35%)
Analyst growth 24.7%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$9.72
(+23%)
Market implied 24.7%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$5.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$8.98
(+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
39477 shares
2026-04-17
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-15
Fajerman Sergio Guillinet
SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-14
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