Itau Unibanco (ITUB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITUB - Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. American Depositary Shares
$9.49
-0.21 (-2.16%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.11%
30d:
+16.01%
90d:
+14.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ITUB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ITUB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.60
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITUB is currently trading at $9.49, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.22 to $9.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ITUB scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ITUB scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.22 -
$9.77
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.03)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.22 -
$9.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.38
Resistance Level
$10.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.79
Wall Street Target
$9.03
(-4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.86
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$10.24
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$10.64
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$25.06
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$12.35
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$10.50
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$13.27
(+40%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$12.06
(+27%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$6.60
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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