Janus International Group (JBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBI - Janus International Group, Inc.
$4.59
0.02 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
-8.38%
30d:
-5.75%
90d:
-13.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JBI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JBI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.57
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.94
22.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBI is currently trading at $4.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.80 to $5.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JBI scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.62 (+66.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JBI scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.62 (+66.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.80 -
$5.36
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (16/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 66.0% below Wall St target ($7.62)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.80 -
$5.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.56
Resistance Level
$5.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.01
Wall Street Target
$7.62
(+66.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.1%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.29
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$4.00
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$3.74
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$4.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.6%)
$22.01
(+380%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 18.6%)
$7.65
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 18.6%)
$6.50
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$10.05
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$9.14
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$3.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$5.63
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:32 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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