JBI
Janus International Group, Inc.
METAL DOORS, SASH, FRAMES, MOLDINGS & TRIM
Janus International Group (JBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.75
-0.13 (-3.35%)
▼
5d:
-21.38%
30d:
-8.54%
90d:
-26.61%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$4.06 – $4.64
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.6x
CHEAP
vs 8.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$6.42
+71.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.58 / $5.05
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JBI is down 21.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.65
33.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBI is currently trading at $3.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.06 to $4.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.6) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.58, while resistance sits at $5.04. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: JBI scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.42 (+71.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.58, while resistance sits at $5.04. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: JBI scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.42 (+71.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.06 -
$4.64
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.06 -
$4.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$3.58
Resistance Level
$5.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 71.2% below Wall St target ($6.42)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.58
Wall Street Target
$6.42
(+71.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.1%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.48
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$3.22
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$2.99
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$3.72
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 78.1%)
$38.21
(+919%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 78.1%)
$12.66
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 78.1%)
$10.76
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.27
Bull Case
$4.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$3.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$2.87
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$4.67
(+24.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.6%
Share JBI Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (JBI)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $JBI on StockTwits due to weak forward guidance causing investors to lower expectations for revenue, earnings, and cash flow, leading to a lower valuation demand.
Key Retail Themes:
Weak forward guidance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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