JRVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JRVR - James River Group Holdings, Ltd
$4.05
0.02 (0.50%)
▲
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
-10.4%
90d:
-1.46%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When JRVR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JRVR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JRVR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.73
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JRVR is currently trading at $4.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.20 to $4.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (4.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.88, while resistance sits at $4.70.
Market Sentiment: JRVR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.72 (+16.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.88, while resistance sits at $4.70.
Market Sentiment: JRVR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.72 (+16.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.20 -
$4.70
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JRVR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4.72)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.20 -
$4.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.27
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.89
Resistance Level
$4.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.02
Wall Street Target
$4.73
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.2%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 4.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.84
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$3.63
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$3.44
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$4.02
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 33.6%)
$48.22
(+1091%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 33.6%)
$9.65
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 33.6%)
$8.21
(+103%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$8.87
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$8.06
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$2.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 4.7
Stabilization Target:
$4.74
(+17.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JRVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Specialty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Specialty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Group Hol… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$50 | 57 HOLD |
|
AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd |
BUY
9 analysts |
$124 | 69 BUY |
|
NMIH
NMI Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$49 | 43 HOLD |
|
ESNT
Essent Group Ltd |
BUY
8 analysts |
$75 | 43 HOLD |
|
RDN
Radian Group Inc |
BUY
6 analysts |
$44 | 64 BUY |
Advanced JRVR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JRVR price and gamma walls.
