JRVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JRVR - James River Group Holdings, Ltd
$4.49
0.02 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
-4.67%
30d:
+2.28%
90d:
-27.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When JRVR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JRVR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JRVR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.17
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.31
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JRVR is currently trading at $4.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.38 to $4.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.31, while resistance sits at $4.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.38 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.31, while resistance sits at $4.86.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.38 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.38 -
$4.66
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
61th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 61th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.38 -
$4.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.55
(12.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.31
Resistance Level
$4.86
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.05
Wall Street Target
$5.38
(+19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.3%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 4.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.24
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.01
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$3.79
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$4.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.1%)
$43.88
(+877%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 24.1%)
$8.57
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 24.1%)
$7.29
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case
$9.83
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$8.94
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$3.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 4.8
Stabilization Target:
$5.32
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JRVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Specialty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Specialty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Group Hol… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$49 | 52 HOLD |
|
AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd |
BUY
9 analysts |
$126 | 54 HOLD |
|
ESNT
Essent Group Ltd |
BUY
8 analysts |
$69 | 56 HOLD |
|
NMIH
NMI Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$47 | 51 HOLD |
|
RDN
Radian Group Inc |
BUY
6 analysts |
$45 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced JRVR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JRVR price and gamma walls.
