Kayne Anderson BDC (KBDC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.83
-0.16 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
+0.71%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
-4.96%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$12.45 – $12.91
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.1x
FAIR
vs 8.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.00
+7.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.28 / $13.36
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KBDC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.75
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBDC is currently trading at $12.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.45 to $12.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.28, while resistance sits at $13.36.
Market Sentiment: KBDC scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.28, while resistance sits at $13.36.
Market Sentiment: KBDC scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.45 -
$12.91
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.45 -
$12.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$12.28
Resistance Level
$13.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.05
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+7.8%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.61
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.25
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.89
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$13.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.2%)
$27.32
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -5.2%)
$11.07
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -5.2%)
$9.41
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$27.40
(+111%)
Analyst growth 92.2%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$24.91
(+92%)
Market implied 92.2%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$8.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.21
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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