KBDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBDC - Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
$14.18
-0.47 (-3.21%)
▼
5d:
-4.45%
30d:
-6.59%
90d:
+2.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KBDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KBDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.42
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBDC is currently trading at $14.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.52 to $15.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.52 -
$15.04
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.52 -
$15.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.15
Resistance Level
$15.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.87
Wall Street Target
$15.40
(+8.6%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.04
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.90
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.76
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$14.11
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$33.37
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$13.51
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -1.6%)
$11.49
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$20.38
(+38%)
Analyst growth 24.9%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$18.53
(+25%)
Market implied 24.9%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$10.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.54
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
9000 shares
2026-03-06
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-04
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