KBDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBDC - Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
$13.75
0.04 (0.29%)
▲
5d:
-2.0%
30d:
-6.14%
90d:
-2.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KBDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.13
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBDC is currently trading at $13.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.06 to $14.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KBDC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.20 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KBDC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.20 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.06 -
$14.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.06 -
$14.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.15
Resistance Level
$15.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.64
Wall Street Target
$15.20
(+10.5%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.50
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.26
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$13.02
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$13.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.2%)
$32.43
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: -2.2%)
$12.86
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -2.2%)
$10.93
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$18.76
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.4%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$17.05
(+24%)
Market implied 24.4%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$9.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.49
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
9000 shares
2026-03-06
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-04
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