KBDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBDC - Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
$13.71
-0.03 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
-5.12%
90d:
-3.79%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KBDC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KBDC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.13
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBDC is currently trading at $13.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.56 to $14.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.20 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.20 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.56 -
$14.23
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.56 -
$14.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.15
Resistance Level
$15.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.63
Wall Street Target
$15.20
(+10.6%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.51
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.28
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$13.05
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$13.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -2.2%)
$32.43
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: -2.2%)
$12.85
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -2.2%)
$10.92
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$18.80
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.4%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$17.09
(+24%)
Market implied 24.4%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$9.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.49
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
9000 shares
2026-03-06
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-04
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