Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$36.35
+0.92 (+2.61%)
â˛
5d:
-0.78%
30d:
+6.33%
90d:
+20.03%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$32.59 â $36.66
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.0x
FAIR
vs 12.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$38.08
+7.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$34.37 / $38.29
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KDP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 12, 2026 at $36.34 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.12
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KDP is currently trading at $36.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.59 to $36.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.37, while resistance sits at $38.28.
Market Sentiment: KDP scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.37, while resistance sits at $38.28.
Market Sentiment: KDP scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.59 -
$36.66
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$32.59 -
$36.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$34.37
Resistance Level
$38.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding KDP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.96
Wall Street Target
$38.08
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.91
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$38.46
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$40.07
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$67.83
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 10.4%)
$47.69
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$40.53
(+14%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.13
Bull Case
$84.15
(+138%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$76.50
(+116%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$26.01
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KDP)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A financial article on Yahoo Finance discusses the importance of buying dividend stocks before their ex-dividend date and highlights Seagate Technology as one such stock with a quarterly dividend of $0.74 and an ex-dividend date of September 24, 2026. The article also mentions the share price adjustment on the ex-dividend date and the concentration of the stock being a regional bank.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend stocks
Ex-dividend date
Seagate Technology
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 10:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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