KDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KDP - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
$31.12
-0.45 (-1.43%)
▼
5d:
+4.85%
30d:
-6.74%
90d:
+5.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.36
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KDP is currently trading at $31.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.23 to $32.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.24 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.24 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.23 -
$32.41
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.24)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 9.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.23 -
$32.41
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.53
Resistance Level
$31.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.31
Wall Street Target
$35.24
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.7%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.31
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.49
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$31.68
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.5%)
$70.65
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$41.95
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$35.66
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$65.03
(+109%)
Analyst growth 87.3%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$59.12
(+90%)
Market implied 87.3%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$21.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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