Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KDP - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
$35.19
0.72 (2.09%)
▲
5d:
+2.95%
30d:
+10.8%
90d:
+18.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KDP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KDP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.65
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KDP is currently trading at $35.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.60 to $33.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KDP scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KDP scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.60 -
$33.51
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.32)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.5% growth with 75.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.60 -
$33.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.05
Resistance Level
$35.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.91
Wall Street Target
$36.32
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
75.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.77
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$38.43
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$40.16
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$67.57
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$47.32
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 10.4%)
$40.23
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$75.83
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$68.94
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$23.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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