Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KDP - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
$31.39
-0.07 (-0.22%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.53%
30d:
+6.19%
90d:
+0.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KDP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KDP is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.47
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KDP is currently trading at $31.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.36 to $32.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.21 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KDP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.21 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.36 -
$32.36
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 75.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.36 -
$32.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.13
Resistance Level
$33.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.38
Wall Street Target
$36.21
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
75.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.0%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.61
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.83
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$32.05
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$69.05
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$42.39
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 10.5%)
$36.03
(+15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$69.21
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$62.92
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.4
Bear Case
$21.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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