Keysight Technologies (KEYS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KEYS - Keysight Technologies, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$373.88
9.84 (2.70%) ▲
5d: +4.57%
30d: +17.1%
90d: +19.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KEYS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$619.14
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$384.44
2.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KEYS is currently trading at $373.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $315.58 to $344.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.9) is in line with its historical norms (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 109.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $376.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KEYS scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $415.08 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $315.58 - $344.93
Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 21.4%

Protect Your Profits

KEYS is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($415.08)
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $315.58 - $344.93
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $331.76
Resistance Level $376.68
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.95
Wall Street Target $415.08 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 36.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 109.1%
Profit Margin 19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 27.0 vs 27.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $371.64 (-1%)
2-Year Target $369.41 (-1%)
3-Year Target $367.19 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→27) $373.28 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.0, Growth: 20.9%) $660.64 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.9%) $500.03 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 20.9%) $425.02 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.46
Bull Case $744.61 (+99%)
Analyst growth 85.9%, PE expands to 53.7
Base Case $676.92 (+81%)
Market implied 85.9%, PE stable at 48.8
Bear Case $247.55 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.0 to 27.4
Stabilization Target: $380.08 (+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.7%
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Last updated: October 01, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced KEYS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEYS price and gamma walls.

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