Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$22.68
-1.14 (-4.79%)
▼
5d:
-4.91%
30d:
-17.89%
90d:
-4.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $24.02 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
Get Alerted When KGC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.20
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $22.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.93 to $26.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 64.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.90, while resistance sits at $24.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+36.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.90, while resistance sits at $24.42. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+36.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.93 -
$26.96
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KGC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.7% below Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.93 -
$26.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.90
Resistance Level
$24.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.48
Wall Street Target
$31.01
(+36.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.8%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$20.77
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$19.88
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$22.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$70.31
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 9.8%)
$30.01
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$25.51
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.65
Bull Case
$26.46
(+17%)
Analyst growth 1.0%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$24.05
(+6%)
Market implied 1.0%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$16.20
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$25.96
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$52 | 63 BUY |
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$137 | 60 HOLD |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$217 | 60 BUY |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$178 | 56 HOLD |
|
FNV
Franco-Nevada Corporation |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$288 | 63 BUY |
Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
