Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.47
-0.06 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
-8.4%
90d:
-20.04%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$21.44 – $23.75
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.1x
CHEAP
vs 9.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$30.98
+44.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.70 / $23.28
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $20.56 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.81
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.61
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $21.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.44 to $23.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.70, while resistance sits at $23.27.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.98 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.70, while resistance sits at $23.27.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.98 (+44.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.44 -
$23.75
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.44 -
$23.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$19.70
Resistance Level
$23.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.3% below Wall St target ($30.98)
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.14
Wall Street Target
$30.98
(+44.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
37.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 9.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.33
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.25
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$18.23
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$21.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$68.09
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$27.92
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 9.2%)
$23.74
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$25.07
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.9%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$22.79
(+6%)
Market implied 5.9%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$14.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$25.31
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KGC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message predicts substantial government spending, money printing, and deficits in the coming years, potentially boosting demand for gold stocks like $KGC.
Key Retail Themes:
government spending
gold demand
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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