KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$25.01
-1.29 (-4.90%)
▼
5d:
-8.52%
30d:
-12.8%
90d:
-10.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.73
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.50
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $25.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.83 to $29.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 133.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.24, while resistance sits at $30.46. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+63.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.24, while resistance sits at $30.46. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.91 (+63.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$25.83 -
$29.12
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KGC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.6% below Wall St target ($40.91)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.83 -
$29.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.24
Resistance Level
$30.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.28
Wall Street Target
$40.91
(+63.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
60.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.9%
Profit Margin
36.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.51
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.23
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$25.79
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$102.32
(+309%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.0%)
$34.20
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$29.07
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case
$42.29
(+69%)
Analyst growth 46.2%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$38.45
(+54%)
Market implied 46.2%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$17.88
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$35.38
(+41.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
