KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$32.76
1.33 (4.23%)
▲
5d:
+19.96%
30d:
+38.4%
90d:
+14.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 21, 2026 at $32.70 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 7.4/10
Get Alerted When KGC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: KGC is 16.7% above its trading range ($28.07). Market expects 3.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: KGC is 16.7% above its trading range ($28.07). Market expects 3.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.58
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $32.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.78 to $28.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.78 -
$28.07
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
Protect Your Profits
KGC is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.78 -
$28.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.54
Resistance Level
$32.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.70
Wall Street Target
$35.93
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.8%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.78
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$34.82
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$35.90
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$92.37
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 14.5%)
$49.23
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$41.84
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case
$38.23
(+17%)
Analyst growth 10.6%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$34.75
(+6%)
Market implied 10.6%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$21.37
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$132 | 41 HOLD |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$215 | 43 HOLD |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$52 | 38 SELL |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$175 | 41 HOLD |
|
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$46 | 44 HOLD |
Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
