KMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMT - Kennametal Inc.
$32.67
-0.89 (-2.65%)
▼
5d:
-6.01%
30d:
-11.13%
90d:
-21.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KMT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.19
Based on -16.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMT is currently trading at $32.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.94 to $39.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 83.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.64 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $31.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KMT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.64 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.94 -
$39.17
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.64)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.94 -
$39.17
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.72
Resistance Level
$37.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.39
Wall Street Target
$37.64
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
83.5%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$26.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→16)
$45.15
(+38%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -37.1%)
$84.40
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -37.1%)
$32.31
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -37.1%)
$27.46
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$76.47
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$69.52
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$23.64
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$61.94
(+89.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+89.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:17 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carlonda R Reilly
SELL
13410 shares
2026-03-09
John Wayne Witt
SELL
5060 shares
2026-02-19
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