KMT
Kennametal Inc.
MACHINE TOOLS, METAL CUTTING TYPES
Kennametal (KMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.59
+0.56 (+2.33%)
▲
5d:
-6.43%
30d:
-21.49%
90d:
-19.06%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$26.52 – $32.41
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.5x
CHEAP
vs 12.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$29.29
+19.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.65 / $31.51
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.38
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.66
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMT is currently trading at $24.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.52 to $32.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1060.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.64, while resistance sits at $31.51.
Market Sentiment: KMT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.29 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $22.64, while resistance sits at $31.51.
Market Sentiment: KMT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.29 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.52 -
$32.41
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$26.52 -
$32.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$22.65
Resistance Level
$31.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.45
Wall Street Target
$29.29
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1060.0%
Profit Margin
22.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.13
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.92
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→12)
$34.46
(+40%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.2%)
$70.75
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: -2.2%)
$22.98
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: -2.2%)
$19.53
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.60
Bull Case
$13.26
(-46%)
Analyst growth -49.8%, PE expands to 3.5
Base Case
$12.05
(-51%)
Market implied -49.8%, PE stable at 3.2
Bear Case
$16.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$47.28
(+92.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+92.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KMT)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding Kennametal Inc (KMT) as a global leader poised for growth in key end-markets.
Key Retail Themes:
Kennametal's position as a global leader in tooling and wear-resistant solutions
Long-term growth potential in key end-markets
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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