Kennametal (KMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMT - Kennametal Inc.
$29.44
0.31 (1.06%)
â˛
5d:
+0.03%
30d:
-4.35%
90d:
-14.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KMT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KMT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.37
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.14
11.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMT is currently trading at $29.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.03 to $32.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$29.03 -
$32.67
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.03 -
$32.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.74
Resistance Level
$31.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.72
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.7%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.85
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$21.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â13)
$37.24
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.2%)
$71.85
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: -2.2%)
$27.51
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: -2.2%)
$23.38
(-21%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.34
Bull Case
$28.15
(-4%)
Analyst growth -12.2%, PE expands to 7.4
Base Case
$25.59
(-13%)
Market implied -12.2%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$19.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$51.09
(+73.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+73.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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