Is SWK stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SWK is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of SWK stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SWK to be between $94.66 and $102.48. The current price is $89.24.

What is the analyst price target for SWK?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SWK is $100.27. This implies a potential upside of 12.4% from current levels.

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SWK - Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE

$89.24

0.01 (0.01%) ▲

5d: -7.52%

30d: -13.28%

90d: +7.35%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 24, 2026 at $98.46 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$129.99

Based on 9.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$80.71

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SWK is currently trading at $89.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.66 to $102.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.27 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $94.66 - $102.48

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 78.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($100.27)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $94.66 - $102.48

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.95

Resistance Level $100.85

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.98

Wall Street Target $100.27 (+12.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 247.8%

Profit Margin 4.1%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium

PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 13.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $90.76 (+2%)

2-Year Target $92.30 (+3%)

3-Year Target $93.87 (+5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $89.30 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%) $190.16 (+113%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 13.9%) $131.80 (+48%)

Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 13.9%) $112.03 (+26%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98

Bull Case $157.42 (+76%)

Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 24.7

Base Case $143.11 (+60%)

Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 22.4

Bear Case $60.68 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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