SWK
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$115.49
-0.95 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
-2.4%
30d:
+27.32%
90d:
+12.99%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect SWK Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (19%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$89.21 – $108.74
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.9x
STRETCHED
vs 13.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$112.00
-3.8% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$100.00 / $122.68
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SWK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 4, 2026 at $116.41 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.32
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWK is currently trading at $115.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.21 to $108.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $100.00, while resistance sits at $122.68.
Market Sentiment: SWK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $100.00, while resistance sits at $122.68.
Market Sentiment: SWK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$89.21 -
$108.74
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$89.21 -
$108.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$100.00
Resistance Level
$122.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
SWK is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($112.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.5% growth expectation is conservative given 439% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.89
Wall Street Target
$112.00
(-3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
438.8%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.5% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 13.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.50
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$139.61
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$152.88
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$116.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$172.44
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$155.34
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 10.1%)
$118.09
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.58
Bull Case
$151.53
(+30%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$137.76
(+18%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$80.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SWK)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Stanley Black & Decker reported strong third quarter results, with organic sales up 4% and significant gross margin expansion due to tariff refunds. The company also announced a new $1 billion share repurchase authorization.
Key Retail Themes:
strong third quarter financial performance
tariff refunds boosting earnings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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