Is SWK stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SWK is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: SWK is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of SWK stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SWK to be between $88.47 and $92.08. The current price is $97.38.

What is the analyst price target for SWK?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SWK is $100.00. This implies a potential upside of 4.8% from current levels.

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SWK - Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE

$97.38

1.94 (2.03%) ▲

5d: +4.99%

30d: +6.12%

90d: +6.7%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your SWK Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 12d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 15, 2026 at $92.75 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 4.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SWK is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 12.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$125.71

Based on 8.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$78.06

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SWK is currently trading at $97.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.47 to $92.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SWK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $98.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SWK scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $88.47 - $92.08

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 20.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($100.00)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $88.47 - $92.08

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.55

Resistance Level $98.29

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.13

Wall Street Target $100.00 (+4.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 247.8%

Profit Margin 4.1%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium

PE vs Historical 15.1 vs 13.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $99.35 (+4%)

2-Year Target $103.43 (+8%)

3-Year Target $107.67 (+13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→13) PE COMPRESSION $95.38 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.6%) $179.11 (+88%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 12.6%) $136.43 (+43%)

Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: 12.6%) $115.96 (+22%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 23.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.09

Bull Case $159.66 (+67%)

Analyst growth 54.3%, PE expands to 25.3

Base Case $145.14 (+52%)

Market implied 54.3%, PE stable at 23.0

Bear Case $63.98 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 1:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced SWK Option Strategies

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