KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$103.25
1.21 (1.19%)
▲
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
-3.28%
90d:
+0.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KOF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KOF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.25
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.30
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $103.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.70 to $107.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.49 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.49 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$103.70 -
$107.71
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($117.49)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.70 -
$107.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.01
Resistance Level
$109.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.80
Wall Street Target
$117.49
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.80
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$100.38
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$98.97
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$103.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 17.5%)
$274.56
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 17.5%)
$167.28
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 17.5%)
$142.19
(+38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$108.08
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 4:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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