KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$110.71
0.09 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-1.6%
30d:
+0.76%
90d:
+3.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KOF is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: KOF is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.37
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $110.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.70 to $113.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $108.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $108.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$108.70 -
$113.23
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($121.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.70 -
$113.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.69
Resistance Level
$113.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.94
Wall Street Target
$121.05
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$113.38
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$114.74
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$110.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.8%)
$223.93
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$154.78
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$131.57
(+19%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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