KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$104.21
0.71 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
-2.95%
30d:
-0.13%
90d:
-1.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$207.18
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.65
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $104.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.82 to $107.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $103.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.78 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $103.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.78 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$104.82 -
$107.83
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($116.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.82 -
$107.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.00
Resistance Level
$110.94
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.32
Wall Street Target
$116.78
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.29
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$98.46
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$95.70
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$104.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.0%)
$334.43
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 22.0%)
$189.17
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 22.0%)
$160.79
(+54%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$113.35
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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|---|---|---|---|
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