KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters Best Beverages Stocks 2026 →

KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$120.13
+2.43 (+2.06%) ▲
5d: +3.19% 30d: +5.34% 90d: +9.34%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$111.56 – $118.72
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.4x FAIR
vs 13.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$123.26
+2.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$112.67 / $120.23
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: KOF is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.84
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.43
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $120.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.56 to $118.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $111.56 - $118.72
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $111.56 - $118.72
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $112.67
Resistance Level $120.23
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($123.26)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.44
Wall Street Target $123.26 (+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.5%
Profit Margin 8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 13.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $125.30 (+4%)
2-Year Target $130.68 (+9%)
3-Year Target $136.30 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $120.08 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.1%) $254.73 (+112%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 18.1%) $198.00 (+65%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 18.1%) $168.30 (+40%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (137x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 136.99 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.88
Bull Case $145.06 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 143.8
Base Case $120.13 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 137.0
Bear Case $91.90 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 123.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KOF)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Sep 3, 2022
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on KOF are bullish (sentiment score +0.42) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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