KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$117.81
-0.48 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+5.29%
90d:
+14.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KOF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KOF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.66
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $117.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.79 to $115.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.02, while resistance sits at $122.14.
Market Sentiment: KOF scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.02, while resistance sits at $122.14.
Market Sentiment: KOF scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$107.79 -
$115.67
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($121.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.79 -
$115.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.02
Resistance Level
$122.14
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.59
Wall Street Target
$121.21
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.76
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$123.77
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$126.87
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.3%)
$233.14
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 13.3%)
$171.29
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$145.60
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (123x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 123.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.95
Bull Case
$142.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 129.6
Base Case
$117.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 123.5
Bear Case
$90.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 111.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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