KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V

Bottled & Canned Soft Drinks & Carbonated Waters
$106.39
-3.16 (-2.88%) ▼
5d: -2.37%
30d: -0.11%
90d: +12.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KOF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.73
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.61
17.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $106.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.41 to $108.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $103.00, while resistance sits at $110.94.

Market Sentiment: KOF has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $105.41 - $108.44
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($116.24)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $105.41 - $108.44
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $103.00
Resistance Level $110.94
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.58
Wall Street Target $116.24 (+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.5%
Profit Margin 7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 13.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $103.94 (-2%)
2-Year Target $101.55 (-5%)
3-Year Target $99.22 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $106.50 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.0%) $334.43 (+214%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 22.0%) $193.12 (+82%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 22.0%) $164.15 (+54%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.5
Stabilization Target: $114.20 (+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.3%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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