KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$105.55
-2.49 (-2.30%)
▼
5d:
-3.13%
30d:
-4.85%
90d:
-1.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KOF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KOF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.71
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $105.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.94 to $113.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $105.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KOF scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.59 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $105.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KOF scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.59 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$108.94 -
$113.44
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($121.59)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.94 -
$113.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.00
Resistance Level
$114.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.36
Wall Street Target
$121.59
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.23
(0%)
2-Year Target
$104.92
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$104.60
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$105.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$225.27
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$147.55
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$125.42
(+19%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$106.64
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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