KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$112.19
-1.05 (-0.93%)
▼
5d:
+2.98%
30d:
+9.48%
90d:
+4.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KOF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KOF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.31
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $112.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.26 to $110.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$104.26 -
$110.76
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($120.74)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.26 -
$110.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.84
Resistance Level
$114.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.06
Wall Street Target
$120.74
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.10
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$116.04
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$118.01
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.46
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.2%)
$251.20
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 16.2%)
$175.99
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$149.59
(+33%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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|---|---|---|---|
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