KOF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOF - Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B DE C.V
$108.27
-0.85 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
+5.41%
30d:
+2.33%
90d:
+6.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KOF is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: KOF is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.81
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOF is currently trading at $108.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.19 to $107.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KOF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$103.19 -
$107.59
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($118.34)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.19 -
$107.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.08
Resistance Level
$111.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.72
Wall Street Target
$118.34
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.24
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$110.23
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$111.22
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$107.78
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$225.98
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$149.61
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$127.17
(+18%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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