Koppers (KOP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KOP - Koppers Holdings, Inc.

LUMBER & WOOD PRODUCTS (NO FURNITURE)
$39.33
-1.42 (-3.48%) ▼
5d: -9.21%
30d: -14.43%
90d: -20.72%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026 13d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KOP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.25
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.86
12.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KOP is currently trading at $39.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.68 to $46.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KOP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $40.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: KOP scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $42.68 - $46.51
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 22th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($57.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.68 - $46.51
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.30 (5.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.48
Resistance Level $44.43
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.32
Wall Street Target $57.00 (+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.3%
Profit Margin -4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.1% premium
PE vs Historical 8.3 vs 8.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $40.79 (+0%)
2-Year Target $40.83 (+0%)
3-Year Target $40.87 (+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $40.76 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.7%) $171.03 (+320%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 20.7%) $71.67 (+76%)
Bear: (PE: 7.1, Growth: 20.7%) $60.92 (+50%)
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced KOP Option Strategies

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