What is the fair value of KOS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for KOS to be between $2.57 and $2.83. The current price is $2.70.

What is the analyst price target for KOS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for KOS is $3.00. This implies a potential upside of 11.3% from current levels.

Kosmos Energy (KOS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KOS - Kosmos Energy Ltd.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

$2.70

-0.06 (-2.17%) ▼

5d: -0.37%

30d: +5.06%

90d: -1.46%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your KOS Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 02, 2026 10d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 21, 2026 at $2.65 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: KOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -30.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 15.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$12.41

Based on 10.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$7.70

65.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KOS is currently trading at $2.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.57 to $2.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (26.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KOS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.60, while resistance sits at $2.84.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.00 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $2.57 - $2.83

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($3.00)
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.57 - $2.83

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.60

Resistance Level $2.84

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.71

Wall Street Target $3.01 (+11.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 54.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -50.0%

Profit Margin -34.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -30.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.7 vs 26.3 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -30.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $2.43 (-10%)

2-Year Target $2.19 (-19%)

3-Year Target $1.97 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→26) $5.94 (+120%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.9%) $9.58 (+255%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 15.9%) $4.20 (+56%)

Bear: (PE: 7.4, Growth: 15.9%) $3.57 (+32%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 26.3

Stabilization Target: $8.15 (+202.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +202.0%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM

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