KRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRMN - Karman Holdings Inc.
$50.44
2.29 (4.76%)
▲
5d:
-0.26%
30d:
-10.52%
90d:
-23.26%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRMN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.1% annual earnings decline despite 483% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRMN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.1% annual earnings decline despite 483% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRMN is currently trading at $50.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.94 to $51.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 54.8) compared to its historical average (103.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 482.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRMN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: KRMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+102.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRMN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: KRMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+102.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$45.94 -
$51.62
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 102.2% below Wall St target ($102.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.94 -
$51.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.68
Resistance Level
$50.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.77
Wall Street Target
$102.00
(+102.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
482.9%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
54.8 vs 103.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$40.86
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$36.77
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→103)
$69.42
(+38%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.8, Growth: 59.6%)
$170.23
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 59.6%)
$64.43
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 59.6%)
$54.77
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (92x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (55x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 91.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.55
Bull Case
$60.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 96.3
Base Case
$50.44
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 91.7
Bear Case
$38.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 82.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 54.8 to 103.4
Stabilization Target:
$95.22
(+88.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+88.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 8:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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