KRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KRMN - Karman Holdings Inc.

AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC
$45.83
0.70 (1.55%) β–²
5d: -10.96%
30d: -7.56%
90d: -47.8%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 21d
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 6.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KRMN is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.99
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KRMN is currently trading at $45.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.29 to $52.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 49.5) compared to its historical average (107.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 482.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KRMN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+125.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $46.29 - $52.08
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 125.8% below Wall St target ($103.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $46.29 - $52.08
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.03
Resistance Level $59.01
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 49.50
Wall Street Target $103.50 (+125.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 51.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 482.9%
Profit Margin 5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -22.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 49.5 vs 107.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -22.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $41.25 (-10%)
2-Year Target $37.12 (-19%)
3-Year Target $33.41 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 50β†’107) $72.36 (+58%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 49.5, Growth: 60.2%) $154.68 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 60.2%) $68.06 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 60.2%) $57.85 (+26%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (95x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (50x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 95.24 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.48
Bull Case $55.34 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 100.0
Base Case $45.83 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 95.2
Bear Case $35.06 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 85.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 49.5 to 107.2
Stabilization Target: $99.26 (+116.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +116.6%
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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