KRNY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRNY - Kearny Financial Corporation
$8.60
0.13 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
+4.5%
90d:
+20.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KRNY trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KRNY trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.83
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRNY is currently trading at $8.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.08 to $8.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.08 -
$8.55
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.08 -
$8.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.98
Resistance Level
$8.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.96
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 9.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.10
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.63
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$10.18
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.65
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$34.70
(+304%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 26.6%)
$17.46
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 26.6%)
$14.82
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$12.83
(+49%)
Analyst growth 37.7%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$11.66
(+36%)
Market implied 37.7%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$5.76
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRNY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy A Swansson
SELL
4000 shares
2026-03-10
Patrick M Joyce
SELL
4000 shares
2026-01-28
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