KRNY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRNY - Kearny Financial Corporation
$9.59
-0.04 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+2.02%
30d:
+0.52%
90d:
+19.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRNY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRNY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRNY is currently trading at $9.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.22 to $9.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.22 -
$9.58
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.50)
- BEARISH: Market expects 8.3% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.22 -
$9.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.75
Resistance Level
$9.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.29
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 9.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.39
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$11.25
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$12.18
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 26.8%)
$32.99
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 26.8%)
$19.56
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 26.8%)
$15.44
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$14.50
(+51%)
Analyst growth 36.8%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$13.18
(+37%)
Market implied 36.8%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$6.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRNY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy A Swansson
SELL
4000 shares
2026-03-10
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