Kearny Financial (KRNY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRNY - Kearny Financial Corporation
$9.78
-0.05 (-0.51%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.78%
30d:
+2.62%
90d:
+12.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KRNY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KRNY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRNY is currently trading at $9.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.59 to $9.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRNY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.59 -
$9.94
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.59 -
$9.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.50
Resistance Level
$10.24
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.54
Wall Street Target
$10.67
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 10.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.52
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$11.32
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$12.18
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.8%)
$32.10
(+228%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 26.8%)
$19.95
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 26.8%)
$16.07
(+64%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$14.54
(+49%)
Analyst growth 34.5%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$13.22
(+35%)
Market implied 34.5%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$6.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRNY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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