KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$41.37
1.13 (2.81%)
▲
5d:
+1.03%
30d:
+20.79%
90d:
+42.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KRT trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KRT trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $41.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.47 to $39.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.47 -
$39.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($36.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.47 -
$39.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.93
Resistance Level
$42.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.56
Wall Street Target
$36.50
(-9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.14
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$46.24
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$49.57
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 33.5%)
$119.90
(+198%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 33.5%)
$95.78
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 33.5%)
$77.50
(+93%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$68.93
(+71%)
Analyst growth 55.8%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$62.67
(+56%)
Market implied 55.8%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$27.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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