KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$26.62
-0.80 (-2.92%)
▼
5d:
-2.56%
30d:
-7.98%
90d:
+10.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.37
32.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $26.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.69 to $28.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+16.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.69 -
$28.88
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.69 -
$28.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.91
Resistance Level
$27.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.95
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.89
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$23.27
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$21.76
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$26.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 33.5%)
$126.72
(+376%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 33.5%)
$63.36
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 33.5%)
$53.86
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$44.80
(+64%)
Analyst growth 49.1%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$40.73
(+49%)
Market implied 49.1%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$18.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$32.56
(+22.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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