Karat Packaging (KRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$54.57
1.20 (2.25%)
▲
5d:
+2.79%
30d:
+15.18%
90d:
+56.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.52
Based on -5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $54.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.64 to $52.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $46.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $46.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.64 -
$52.42
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.8% above Wall St target ($46.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 16.1% growth expectation is conservative given 170% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.64 -
$52.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.25
Resistance Level
$54.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.42
Wall Street Target
$46.50
(-14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.1% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 15.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.36
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$73.56
(+35%)
3-Year Target
$85.40
(+57%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: -14.3%)
$39.78
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -14.3%)
$34.65
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: -14.3%)
$25.48
(-53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$53.85
(-1%)
Analyst growth -8.3%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$48.96
(-10%)
Market implied -8.3%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$36.29
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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