KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$29.80
0.10 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
-0.43%
30d:
+11.53%
90d:
+7.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.08
23.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $29.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.04 to $29.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.04 -
$29.59
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.04 -
$29.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.54
Resistance Level
$29.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.26
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.03
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$28.27
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$27.54
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$29.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.5%)
$125.97
(+323%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 33.5%)
$70.93
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 33.5%)
$60.29
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$50.25
(+69%)
Analyst growth 53.8%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$45.68
(+53%)
Market implied 53.8%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$20.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$32.32
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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