KRT Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC

Karat Packaging (KRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$36.75
-1.04 (-2.75%) ▼
5d: -31.47% 30d: -31.77% 90d: -23.17%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$44.98 – $57.40
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.8x FAIR
vs 15.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$46.50
+26.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.68 / $55.52
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: KRT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.11
Based on -5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.45
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $36.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.98 to $57.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.68, while resistance sits at $55.52.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.50 (+26.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $44.98 - $57.40
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $44.98 - $57.40
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $32.68
Resistance Level $55.52
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($46.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-31.5%) - monitor closely

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.77
Wall Street Target $46.50 (+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -38.9%
Profit Margin 9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.8 vs 15.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.68 (0%)
2-Year Target $36.60 (0%)
3-Year Target $36.53 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→16) $36.83 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -14.3%) $33.73 (+-8%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: -14.3%) $26.79 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: -14.3%) $22.77 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case $39.86 (+9%)
Analyst growth -4.1%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case $36.23 (-1%)
Market implied -4.1%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case $25.70 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 15.9
Stabilization Target: $37.05 (+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KRT)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Traders on StockTwits have identified a potential bull flag formation for $KRT at its all-time high.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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