Karat Packaging (KRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$46.94
0.17 (0.36%)
â˛
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
-2.74%
90d:
+57.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.46
Based on -5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $46.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.33 to $49.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.18, while resistance sits at $50.67.
Market Sentiment: KRT scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.18, while resistance sits at $50.67.
Market Sentiment: KRT scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $41.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.33 -
$49.49
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.6% above Wall St target ($41.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.9% growth expectation is conservative given 170% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.33 -
$49.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.18
Resistance Level
$50.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.15
Wall Street Target
$41.50
(-11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.9% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 14.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.53
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$58.78
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$65.77
(+40%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -14.3%)
$34.26
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -14.3%)
$34.22
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: -14.3%)
$24.46
(-48%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$47.95
(+2%)
Analyst growth -6.8%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$43.59
(-7%)
Market implied -6.8%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$31.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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