KTOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KTOS - Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
$47.95
-2.85 (-5.61%)
▼
5d:
-14.89%
30d:
-14.65%
90d:
-38.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KTOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KTOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.42
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KTOS is currently trading at $47.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.92 to $61.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.5) compared to its historical average (87.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 130.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTOS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: KTOS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.20 (+134.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTOS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: KTOS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.20 (+134.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.92 -
$61.21
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KTOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 134.0% below Wall St target ($112.20)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-14.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.92 -
$61.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.90
Resistance Level
$61.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.53
Wall Street Target
$112.20
(+134.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
130.6%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.5 vs 87.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.16
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$38.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$34.96
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→87)
$68.45
(+43%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.5, Growth: 40.9%)
$134.14
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.9%)
$65.61
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 40.9%)
$55.77
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (133x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 133.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.36
Bull Case
$57.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 140.0
Base Case
$47.95
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 133.3
Bear Case
$36.68
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 120.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.5 to 87.2
Stabilization Target:
$93.90
(+95.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+95.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KTOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scot B Jarvis
SELL
5417 shares
2026-04-16
Marie Mendoza
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-15
Phillip D Carrai
SELL
6500 shares
2026-04-15
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Advanced KTOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KTOS price and gamma walls.
