KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
KTOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$34.75
-1.94 (-5.29%)
▼
5d:
+4.07%
30d:
-11.65%
90d:
-46.19%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect KTOS Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
62/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$36.97 – $42.15
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.1x
CHEAP
vs 69.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$74.88
+115.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$31.57 / $43.21
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: KTOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Get Alerted When KTOS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KTOS is currently trading at $34.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.97 to $42.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.1) compared to its historical average (69.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTOS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.57, while resistance sits at $43.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.88 (+115.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTOS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.57, while resistance sits at $43.20. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.88 (+115.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.97 -
$42.15
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$36.97 -
$42.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$31.57
Resistance Level
$43.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding KTOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 115.5% below Wall St target ($74.88)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.10
Wall Street Target
$74.88
(+115.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.1 vs 69.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.28
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$28.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$25.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→70)
$56.61
(+63%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.1, Growth: 32.9%)
$81.51
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.9%)
$52.05
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 32.9%)
$44.24
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.59 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.98
Bull Case
$41.96
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$34.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$26.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.1 to 69.5
Stabilization Target:
$77.66
(+123.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+123.5%
Share KTOS Analysis
Share this live KTOS analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KTOS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF sold its last shares of Teradyne, but still holds the stock in another fund.
Key Retail Themes:
ARK Innovation ETF sold Teradyne shares
Cathie Wood still holds Teradyne in another fund
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KTOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$233 | 71 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$296 | 51 HOLD |
|
AXON
Axon Enterprise Inc. |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$561 | 50 HOLD |
|
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA Inc. |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$102 | 48 HOLD |
|
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corpora… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$636 | 52 HOLD |
Advanced KTOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KTOS price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive KTOS Research Pages
