Quaker Houghton (KWR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KWR - Quaker Houghton
$155.92
-0.64 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-0.66%
30d:
-2.23%
90d:
+2.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KWR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KWR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$285.95
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$177.56
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KWR is currently trading at $155.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $155.45 to $160.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KWR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.14 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KWR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.14 (+23.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$155.45 -
$160.10
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($193.14)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$155.45 -
$160.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.36
Resistance Level
$161.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.37
Wall Street Target
$193.14
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.8%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$156.09
(0%)
2-Year Target
$155.62
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$155.16
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$156.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.6%)
$341.13
(+118%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 21.6%)
$281.22
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 21.6%)
$239.04
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$296.40
(+89%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$269.46
(+72%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$106.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$157.78
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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