LADDER CAPITAL (LADR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LADR - LADDER CAPITAL CORP
$9.61
-0.06 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
-2.54%
90d:
-4.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LADR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LADR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.15
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $9.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.67 to $9.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.67 -
$9.97
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($12.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.67 -
$9.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.60
Resistance Level
$9.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.64
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
24.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.54
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$9.47
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$9.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.1%)
$30.92
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$13.25
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$11.26
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$21.54
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$19.58
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$6.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$9.84
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LADR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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