LADDER CAPITAL (LADR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LADR - LADDER CAPITAL CORP
$8.72
-0.01 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-4.07%
30d:
-10.01%
90d:
-12.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
Get Alerted When LADR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LADR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LADR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.15
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.78
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $8.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.16 to $9.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+37.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+37.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.16 -
$9.88
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($12.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.16 -
$9.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.56
Resistance Level
$9.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.80
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Profit Margin
24.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.38
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$8.05
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$7.74
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$8.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$31.27
(+259%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$11.95
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$10.16
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case
$19.21
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$17.46
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$5.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$9.84
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 9:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LADR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Mortgage Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Mortgage by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp. |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$13 | 49 HOLD |
|
NLY
Annaly Capital Managemen… |
BUY
14 analysts |
$24 | 43 HOLD |
|
FBRT
Franklin BSP Realty Trus… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$12 | 40 SELL |
|
KREF
KKR Real Estate Finance … |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$8 | 58 HOLD |
|
DX
Dynex Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$15 | 48 HOLD |
