LADDER CAPITAL (LADR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.84
-0.12 (-1.34%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.96%
30d:
+1.38%
90d:
-10.34%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$8.72 â $9.26
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.3x
FAIR
vs 8.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.61
+31.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.76 / $9.51
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LADR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.15
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.27
21.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $8.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.72 to $9.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 253.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.61 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.61 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.72 -
$9.26
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.72 -
$9.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$8.76
Resistance Level
$9.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($11.61)
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.25
Wall Street Target
$11.61
(+31.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
253.3%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.68
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$8.52
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$8.37
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$8.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 76.2%)
$21.77
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 76.2%)
$9.04
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 76.2%)
$7.69
(-13%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$13.37
(+51%)
Analyst growth 35.6%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$12.15
(+38%)
Market implied 35.6%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$6.09
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.32
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LADR)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Mar 25, 2023
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on LADR are bullish (sentiment score +0.66) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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