LADR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LADR - LADDER CAPITAL CORP
$10.17
-0.03 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
+0.39%
30d:
+1.6%
90d:
+4.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LADR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LADR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.82
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.07
8.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $10.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.02 to $10.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.32 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LADR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.32 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.02 -
$10.25
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($12.32)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.02 -
$10.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.95
Resistance Level
$10.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.61
Wall Street Target
$12.32
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.8%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.05
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.93
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$9.81
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$10.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.5%)
$42.80
(+321%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 18.5%)
$16.92
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 18.5%)
$14.38
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$22.44
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$20.40
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$6.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.51
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LADR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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