LADDER CAPITAL (LADR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LADR - LADDER CAPITAL CORP
$8.96
-0.09 (-0.99%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.82%
30d:
-4.78%
90d:
-6.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LADR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LADR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.28
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LADR is currently trading at $8.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.68 to $9.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 253.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.60, while resistance sits at $9.33.
Market Sentiment: LADR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.64 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LADR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.60, while resistance sits at $9.33.
Market Sentiment: LADR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.64 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.34
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($11.64)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.60
Resistance Level
$9.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.19
Wall Street Target
$11.64
(+29.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
253.3%
Profit Margin
36.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.77
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$8.59
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$8.41
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$8.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.9%)
$23.69
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$9.77
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 2.9%)
$8.30
(-7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$13.29
(+48%)
Analyst growth 33.5%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$12.08
(+35%)
Market implied 33.5%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$6.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.52
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LADR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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NEUTRAL
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