What is the fair value of LASR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LASR to be between $38.95 and $41.02. The current price is $38.48.

What is the analyst price target for LASR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LASR is $87.12. This implies a potential upside of 126.4% from current levels.

nLIGHT (LASR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LASR - nLIGHT, Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$38.48

0.17 (0.44%) ▲

5d: -5.17%

30d: -2.06%

90d: -44.06%

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LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 24d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $40.58 · last confirmed Oct 7, 2026

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: LASR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -20.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$31.26

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$19.41

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LASR is currently trading at $38.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.95 to $41.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 59.9) compared to its historical average (121.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LASR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: LASR scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.12 (+126.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $38.95 - $41.02

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 126.4% below Wall St target ($87.12)
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $38.95 - $41.02

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.42

Resistance Level $41.18

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 59.92

Wall Street Target $87.13 (+126.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.8%

Profit Margin -4.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -20.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 59.9 vs 121.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -20.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $34.63 (-10%)

2-Year Target $31.17 (-19%)

3-Year Target $28.05 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 60→121) $56.74 (+48%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 59.9, Growth: 27.6%) $79.94 (+108%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.6%) $26.50 (-31%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 27.6%) $22.52 (-42%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 59.9 to 121.2

Stabilization Target: $77.83 (+102.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +102.3%

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Last updated: October 11, 2026 6:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 PM

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Advanced LASR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LASR price and gamma walls.

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