LECO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LECO - Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
$281.82
4.94 (1.78%)
â˛
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
+12.56%
90d:
+8.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LECO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LECO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$410.24
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$254.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LECO is currently trading at $281.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.76 to $283.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (22.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $274.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LECO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LECO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $274.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LECO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$254.76 -
$283.25
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($304.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$254.76 -
$283.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$274.49
Resistance Level
$288.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.52
Wall Street Target
$304.91
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 22.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$282.10
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$282.38
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$282.67
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â23)
PE COMPRESSION
$282.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$392.51
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.7%)
$349.84
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 11.7%)
$297.37
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.92
Bull Case
$384.26
(+36%)
Analyst growth 26.2%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$349.32
(+24%)
Market implied 26.2%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$188.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LECO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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