LEN
Lennar Corporation Class A
GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS
Lennar (LEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$86.66
-4.92 (-5.37%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
+16.09%
90d:
+1.71%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 15, 2026
Protect LEN Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (32%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$76.04 â $87.80
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x
STRETCHED
vs 13.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$77.60
-10.5% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$82.19 / $95.22
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LEN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $91.59 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.21
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEN is currently trading at $86.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.04 to $87.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $82.19, while resistance sits at $95.22. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: LEN scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $77.60. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $82.19, while resistance sits at $95.22. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: LEN scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $77.60. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$76.04 -
$87.80
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$76.04 -
$87.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$82.19
Resistance Level
$95.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 10.5% above Wall St target ($77.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with -8.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.60
Wall Street Target
$77.60
(-10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 13.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.11
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$102.21
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$111.00
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$122.72
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 5.8%)
$102.56
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 5.8%)
$80.33
(-7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.28
Bull Case
$99.62
(+15%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$90.57
(+5%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$62.27
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LEN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Raymond James downgraded D.R. Horton stock due to macroeconomic concerns and valuation, causing the worst day in a year for the stock.
Key Retail Themes:
macroeconomic concerns
valuation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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