LEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEN - Lennar Corporation Class A
$87.44
-2.29 (-2.55%)
▼
5d:
-3.17%
30d:
+0.15%
90d:
-3.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 17, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.54
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEN is currently trading at $87.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.15 to $91.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$86.15 -
$91.82
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($88.54)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with -5.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.15 -
$91.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.82
Resistance Level
$94.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.24
Wall Street Target
$88.54
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.5%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.80
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$92.23
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$94.72
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.5%)
$239.04
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 18.5%)
$145.36
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 18.5%)
$123.55
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.38
Bull Case
$102.14
(+17%)
Analyst growth 3.5%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$92.86
(+6%)
Market implied 3.5%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$61.02
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-01-09
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