Lennar (LEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEN - Lennar Corporation Class A
$77.70
-0.95 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+5.67%
30d:
-6.45%
90d:
-5.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 15, 2026
Get Alerted When LEN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
LEN is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; LEN has been on it 3 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-21.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.22
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEN is currently trading at $77.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.90 to $81.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LEN scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LEN scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$75.90 -
$81.37
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($77.87)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with -8.7% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.90 -
$81.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.78
Resistance Level
$79.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.88
Wall Street Target
$77.87
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 12.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.90
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$86.32
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$90.98
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$122.72
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 5.8%)
$91.96
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 5.8%)
$78.16
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.28
Bull Case
$85.56
(+10%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$77.78
(+0%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$53.48
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Residential Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Residential Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$169 | 58 HOLD |
|
PHM
PulteGroup Inc |
BUY
18 analysts |
$135 | 66 BUY |
|
TMHC
Taylor Morn Home |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$67 | 49 HOLD |
|
DHI
DR Horton Inc |
SELL
20 analysts |
$153 | 67 BUY |
|
KBH
KB Home |
SELL
16 analysts |
$52 | 70 BUY |
Advanced LEN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LEN price and gamma walls.
