Lennar (LEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEN - Lennar Corporation Class A
$82.11
0.52 (0.64%)
▲
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
-0.77%
90d:
-6.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 16, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When LEN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LEN trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: LEN trades at premium valuation expecting 7.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.76
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEN is currently trading at $82.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.24 to $85.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.24 -
$85.13
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LEN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($80.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.4% growth with -8.7% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.24 -
$85.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.70
Resistance Level
$84.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.58
Wall Street Target
$80.08
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.0%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 12.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.19
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$94.71
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$101.72
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$129.73
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$99.07
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$80.13
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$91.14
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.6%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$82.86
(+1%)
Market implied 1.6%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$55.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Residential Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Residential Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$171 | 52 HOLD |
|
DHI
DR Horton Inc |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$159 | 52 HOLD |
|
PHM
PulteGroup Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$141 | 53 HOLD |
|
TMHC
Taylor Morn Home |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$67 | 49 HOLD |
|
TPH
TRI Pointe Homes Inc |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$47 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced LEN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LEN price and gamma walls.
