Lennar (LEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEN - Lennar Corporation Class A
$79.60
1.70 (2.18%)
▲
5d:
-5.74%
30d:
-6.57%
90d:
-16.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 16, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.43
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.61
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEN is currently trading at $79.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.47 to $87.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.63, while resistance sits at $87.25.
Market Sentiment: LEN scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.63, while resistance sits at $87.25.
Market Sentiment: LEN scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.47 -
$87.77
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LEN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.23)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.47 -
$87.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.63
Resistance Level
$87.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.31
Wall Street Target
$86.23
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.5%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.28
(0%)
2-Year Target
$78.96
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$78.65
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$79.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.6%)
$206.95
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 16.6%)
$126.29
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 16.6%)
$107.35
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15
Bull Case
$90.11
(+13%)
Analyst growth 5.2%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$81.91
(+3%)
Market implied 5.2%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$52.97
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$80.84
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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