DHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DHI - D.R. Horton Inc.
$155.94
-1.87 (-1.18%)
▼
5d:
+1.2%
30d:
+10.0%
90d:
+17.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
27d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.79
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DHI is currently trading at $155.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.86 to $153.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$140.86 -
$153.27
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($168.23)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with -2.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.86 -
$153.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$143.63
Resistance Level
$151.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.94
Wall Street Target
$168.23
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.21
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$162.56
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$165.97
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$155.22
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$389.02
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$231.10
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$196.43
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.65
Bull Case
$196.45
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$178.59
(+15%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$107.31
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Aron M Odom
SELL
260 shares
2026-02-13
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