D.R. Horton (DHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$147.09
-2.61 (-1.74%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.31%
30d:
+8.59%
90d:
-1.86%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect DHI Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$135.78 â $150.82
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.4x
FAIR
vs 12.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$146.50
-2.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$140.55 / $161.66
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DHI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $146.00 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$178.74
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DHI is currently trading at $147.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $135.78 to $150.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $140.55, while resistance sits at $161.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DHI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $140.55, while resistance sits at $161.66.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$135.78 -
$150.82
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$135.78 -
$150.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$140.55
Resistance Level
$161.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with -3.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.43
Wall Street Target
$146.50
(-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$154.04
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$158.51
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$163.11
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$149.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$270.62
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$182.98
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$155.54
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.11
Bull Case
$188.74
(+26%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$171.58
(+15%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$105.81
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DHI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a bullish outlook for $DHI as traders discuss potential major reversal from all-time lows, focusing on key technical support levels.
Key Retail Themes:
Technical Analysis
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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