Lennox International (LII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$376.01
-2.71 (-0.72%)
▼
5d:
+5.11%
30d:
+2.24%
90d:
-31.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$661.60
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$410.80
8.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $376.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $355.35 to $369.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $382.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $442.14 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $382.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $442.14 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$355.35 -
$369.47
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($442.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$355.35 -
$369.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$340.32
Resistance Level
$382.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.68
Wall Street Target
$442.14
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$351.83
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$326.85
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$303.64
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$378.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.0%)
$681.96
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 10.0%)
$504.02
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 10.0%)
$428.42
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.68
Bull Case
$458.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 13.8%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$416.80
(+10%)
Market implied 13.8%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$249.13
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$472.17
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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