Lennox International (LII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$366.04
-6.58 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
-5.19%
30d:
-13.04%
90d:
-29.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$712.06
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$442.13
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $366.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $380.47 to $424.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $365.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LII scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $505.38 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $365.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LII scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $505.38 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$380.47 -
$424.69
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($505.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$380.47 -
$424.69
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$365.70
Resistance Level
$396.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.97
Wall Street Target
$505.38
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 19.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$330.53
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$298.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$269.52
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$366.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$721.69
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 10.9%)
$499.90
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.9%)
$424.92
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.32
Bull Case
$481.12
(+31%)
Analyst growth 17.4%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$437.38
(+20%)
Market implied 17.4%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$253.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$497.78
(+36.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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