LII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$435.00
19.12 (4.60%)
▲
5d:
-20.53%
30d:
-23.69%
90d:
-17.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LII is down 20.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LII is down 20.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$726.90
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$451.35
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $435.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $519.22 to $572.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $411.40, while resistance sits at $558.13. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $576.46 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $411.40, while resistance sits at $558.13. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $576.46 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$519.22 -
$572.85
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($576.46)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$519.22 -
$572.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$411.41
Resistance Level
$558.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.55
Wall Street Target
$576.46
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$386.56
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$357.95
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$331.46
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$417.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$732.24
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$547.32
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$465.22
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.80
Bull Case
$713.19
(+64%)
Analyst growth 50.8%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$648.36
(+49%)
Market implied 50.8%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$292.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$526.02
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shane D Wall
SELL
100 shares
2026-02-25
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