LII
Lennox International Inc.
AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP
Lennox International (LII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$348.08
-2.65 (-0.76%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
-0.22%
90d:
-17.52%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$345.86 â $366.16
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.8x
CHEAP
vs 18.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$371.92
+6.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$337.62 / $369.51
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LII is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
LII is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; LII has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-12.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$585.60
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$363.61
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $348.08, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $345.86 to $366.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $337.62, while resistance sits at $369.50.
Market Sentiment: LII scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $337.62, while resistance sits at $369.50.
Market Sentiment: LII scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$345.86 -
$366.16
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$345.86 -
$366.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$337.62
Resistance Level
$369.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($371.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.83
Wall Street Target
$371.92
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.1%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$325.80
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$304.95
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$285.43
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â18)
$348.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.3%)
$608.80
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$454.70
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 9.3%)
$386.49
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.11
Bull Case
$409.48
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.1%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$372.25
(+7%)
Market implied 6.1%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$238.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$424.75
(+22.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LII)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Carrier reported a smaller earnings beat but lower profits and raised its full-year outlook, leading to a 9% stock decline despite the good news.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
profitability
full-year outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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