LII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$551.18
-0.85 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
-2.96%
30d:
+9.19%
90d:
+9.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$724.67
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$449.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $551.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $518.42 to $563.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $542.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $542.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$518.42 -
$563.03
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($572.92)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$518.42 -
$563.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$481.49
Resistance Level
$542.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.60
Wall Street Target
$572.92
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$560.55
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$570.08
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$579.77
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$551.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$763.10
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$721.79
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$613.52
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.52
Bull Case
$721.43
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$655.85
(+19%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$375.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shane D Wall
SELL
100 shares
2026-02-25
Chris Kosel
SELL
254 shares
2026-02-04
Todd J Teske
SELL
700 shares
2026-02-04
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