LII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$515.30
-1.07 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
+2.41%
30d:
+0.09%
90d:
-6.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
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1 traders called LII this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$722.58
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$448.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $515.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $493.44 to $523.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $475.22, while resistance sits at $542.19.
Market Sentiment: LII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $570.07 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $475.22, while resistance sits at $542.19.
Market Sentiment: LII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $570.07 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$493.44 -
$523.65
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($570.07)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$493.44 -
$523.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$475.22
Resistance Level
$542.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.30
Wall Street Target
$570.07
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 19.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$514.27
(0%)
2-Year Target
$513.24
(0%)
3-Year Target
$512.21
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$514.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$774.28
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$681.90
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$579.62
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.49
Bull Case
$657.21
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.7%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$597.46
(+20%)
Market implied 18.7%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$342.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$518.08
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shane D Wall
SELL
100 shares
2026-02-25
Chris Kosel
SELL
254 shares
2026-02-04
Todd J Teske
SELL
700 shares
2026-02-04
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