LII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$402.87
-3.18 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
-4.54%
30d:
-25.1%
90d:
-16.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$731.88
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$454.44
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $402.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $408.92 to $523.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (19.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $402.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LII scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $511.15 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $402.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LII scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $511.15 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$408.92 -
$523.66
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($511.15)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$408.92 -
$523.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$402.44
Resistance Level
$439.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.30
Wall Street Target
$511.15
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 19.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$372.65
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$344.71
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$318.85
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$402.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$727.12
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 11.2%)
$554.37
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 11.2%)
$471.21
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.52
Bull Case
$522.19
(+30%)
Analyst growth 16.9%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$474.72
(+18%)
Market implied 16.9%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$276.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 19.3
Stabilization Target:
$508.14
(+26.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shane D Wall
SELL
100 shares
2026-02-25
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