Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOAN - Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc
$3.75
0.05 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
-4.09%
30d:
-8.09%
90d:
-19.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LOAN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LOAN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.18
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOAN is currently trading at $3.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.86 to $4.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.54, while resistance sits at $3.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+86.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.54, while resistance sits at $3.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+86.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.86 -
$4.09
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 86.7% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.86 -
$4.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.54
Resistance Level
$3.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.52
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+86.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.7%
Profit Margin
72.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 9.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.62
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$3.48
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$3.36
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$3.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.8%)
$10.32
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 4.8%)
$4.31
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 4.8%)
$3.66
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$4.26
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.8%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$3.88
(+3%)
Market implied 4.8%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$2.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$4.18
(+11.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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