LOAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOAN - Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc
$4.24
-0.02 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-9.01%
30d:
-1.92%
90d:
-3.85%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOAN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOAN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.92
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOAN is currently trading at $4.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.27 to $4.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+65.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+65.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.27 -
$4.53
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.1% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -6.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.27 -
$4.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.18
Resistance Level
$4.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+65.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.3%
Profit Margin
73.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.24
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$4.25
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$4.25
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 0.0%)
$9.58
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 0.0%)
$4.24
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 0.0%)
$3.60
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$4.69
(+11%)
Analyst growth 0.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$4.26
(+1%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$2.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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