LOAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOAN - Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc
$4.08
0.05 (1.24%)
â˛
5d:
-0.97%
30d:
-0.49%
90d:
-3.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LOAN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LOAN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.24
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOAN is currently trading at $4.08, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.05 to $4.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOAN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+71.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOAN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+71.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.05 -
$4.27
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 71.6% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.05 -
$4.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.03
Resistance Level
$4.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.27
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+71.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.7%
Profit Margin
72.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.03
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$3.98
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$3.93
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$4.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.8%)
$10.15
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 4.8%)
$4.69
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 4.8%)
$3.99
(-2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$4.64
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.8%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$4.22
(+4%)
Market implied 4.8%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$2.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$4.22
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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