Loar (LOAR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOAR - Loar Holdings Inc.
$62.38
-2.44 (-3.76%)
▼
5d:
+0.27%
30d:
-4.66%
90d:
-13.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.51
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOAR is currently trading at $62.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.71 to $64.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 40.2) compared to its historical average (53.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.20 (+33.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.20 (+33.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.71 -
$64.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LOAR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($86.20)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.71 -
$64.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.99
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.55
Resistance Level
$65.18
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.16
Wall Street Target
$86.20
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.2 vs 53.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.99
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$53.68
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$48.85
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→53)
$64.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.2, Growth: 17.9%)
$106.20
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.9%)
$52.52
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 17.9%)
$44.64
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (40x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.61
Bull Case
$78.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$64.82
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$49.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.2 to 53.2
Stabilization Target:
$85.86
(+32.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LOAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LOAR price and gamma walls.
