Lightpath Technologies (LPTH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.52
-0.47 (-5.88%)
▼
5d:
+5.92%
30d:
-15.6%
90d:
-42.68%
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Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$7.06 – $9.35
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
47.0x
CHEAP
vs 110.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.13
+101.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.94 / $8.55
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: LPTH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $7.76 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LPTH is currently trading at $7.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.06 to $9.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 47.0) compared to its historical average (110.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4911.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPTH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.94, while resistance sits at $8.55. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.12 (+101.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPTH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.94, while resistance sits at $8.55. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.12 (+101.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.06 -
$9.35
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.06 -
$9.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$5.94
Resistance Level
$8.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 101.1% below Wall St target ($15.12)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.00
Wall Street Target
$15.13
(+101.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
73.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4911.3%
Profit Margin
-28.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
47.0 vs 110.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.77
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.09
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.48
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→110)
$12.84
(+71%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.0, Growth: 700.0%)
$25.38
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 700.0%)
$10.72
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 700.0%)
$9.12
(+21%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 47.0 to 110.1
Stabilization Target:
$17.62
(+134.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+134.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LPTH)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
LightPath Technologies reported a record backlog of $132.9 million and expanded gross margins to 41.4% in Q1 2027, despite revenue coming in slightly below expectations due to supply chain delays.
Key Retail Themes:
strong financial performance
supply chain delays
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LPTH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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